Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks & Predictions 10/6/2018

Saturday, October 6, 2018

Scotiabank Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Ottawa Senators travel to Scotiabank Arena to play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday, October 6, 2018. The opening line for this game has the Senators at +230 and the Maple Leafs at -315.

Ottawa had a record of 28-43-11 last season and on the road they had a record of 12-24-5-3. They finished 7th in the Atlantic Division. They scored 221 goals and gave up 291 goals for a point differential of -70. For the season they had an ATS record of 28-54-0 and an over/under record of 44-38-0. Toronto finished with a record of 49-26-7 including 17-8-3-2 at home last season. They were 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They scored 277 goals and surrendered 232 for a goal differential of +45. Their record against the spread was 52-37-0 while their over/under record was 46-37-0.

Valuable Ottawa Senators Betting Trends

The Ottawa Senators were 28-54-0 straight up last year

The Ottawa Senators were 44-38-0 against the over/under last season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs were 52-37-0 straight up last year

The Toronto Maple Leafs were 46-37-0 against the over/under last season

Key Ottawa Senators Injuries

10/05/18 LW Brady Tkachuk Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Toronto
10/05/18 LW Max McCormick Lower Body left last game, is questionable Saturday vs Toronto
10/04/18 RW Marian Gaborik Back is out indefinitely
10/01/18 C Jean-Gabriel Pageau Achilles is out indefinitely

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Matt Duchene accumulated 59 total points last season for the Senators. He had 27 goals last year with 190 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He had a total of 32 assists on the season and averaged 18.3 minutes played per game. Mike Hoffman averaged 18.4 minutes of ice time per game last year. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 9% by scoring 22 goals on 257 shots. He had 34 assists giving him a total of 56 points on the season. Craig Anderson had 23 wins and 25 losses last season in net for the Senators. He had 1,768 shots against him and he gave up 180 goals. He made 1,588 saves for a save percentage of 90%.

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner scored 69 total points last year for the Maple Leafs. He had 22 goals last season with 194 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He had a total of 47 assists on the season and averaged 16.4 minutes played per game. Auston Matthews averaged 18.1 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 18% by scoring 34 goals on 187 shots. He had 29 assists giving him a total of 63 points on the season. Frederik Andersen had 38 wins and 21 losses last year in goal for the Maple Leafs. He had 2,211 shots against him and he surrendered 182 goals. He made 2,029 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Senators had 67 total points last season, which ranked them 30th in the NHL. They were 25th in the league in goals scored with 221 while they gave up 291 goals, ranking them 2nd overall. They had 248 power play opportunities and scored 41 goals on those chances for a percentage of 17%. That was 27th in the NHL. The Senators allowed 235 power play opportunities and gave up 56 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 76%, putting them 26th in the league when short-handed. They averaged 31 shots per game and as a team shot 8.79% for the season. They allowed 33 shots to their opposition per contest and had a team save percentage of 90%. That put them 30th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs were 6th in the NHL with a total of 105 points last year. They had 56 power play goals on 224 opportunities for a percentage of 25%. That ranked them 2nd in the league as a power play unit. They allowed 231 power play opportunities and gave up 43 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%. That was 11th in the NHL. As a team, the Maple Leafs were 2nd in the league with 277 goals scored while they gave up 232 goals, which was 20th overall. They averaged 32 shots per contest and had a team shooting percentage of 10.49%. As a team they gave up 34 shots per game and had a save percentage of 92%. That was 4th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Ottawa was 26th in the league in Corsi percentage last season with 47.6%, as they tried 4,619 shots on net at full strength while giving up 5,085 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage was 48% as they had 3,462 attempts while they gave up 3,748 shots on the defensive end. That ranked them 23rd in the NHL. The Senators started possessions in the offensive zone 50.4% of the time, which was 17th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage was at 49.6% for the season. That was 14th overall in the NHL. They had 2,499 face-off wins compared to 2,470 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage was 50.3%. That ranked them 14th in the league. On defense Ottawa had 1,966 hits and they blocked 1,337 shots from the opposition, putting them 3rd overall.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto was 15th in the league in Corsi percentage last season with 50.2%, as they tried 4,998 shots on net at full strength while giving up 4,965 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage was 49% as they had 3,709 attempts while they gave up 3,861 shots on the defensive end. That ranked them 21st in the NHL. The Maple Leafs started possessions in the offensive zone 48.9% of the time, which was 22nd in the league, while their defensive zone percentage was at 51.1% for the season. That was 10th overall in the NHL. They had 2,688 face-off wins compared to 2,499 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage was 51.8%. That ranked them 6th in the league. On defense Toronto had 1,632 hits and they blocked 1,104 shots from the opposition, putting them 27th overall.

Who will win tonight's Senators/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto -315

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