Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks & Predictions 10/3/2018

Wednesday, October 3, 2018

Scotiabank Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Montreal Canadiens head to Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs on Wednesday, October 3, 2018. The opening line for this contest has the Canadiens at +144 and the Maple Leafs at -169.

Montreal had a record of 29-40-13 last year and away from home they had a record of 11-26-4-2. They were 6th in the Atlantic Division. They tallied 209 goals and surrendered 264 goals for a point differential of -55. For the year they had an ATS mark of 29-53-0 and an over/under record of 37-42-0. Toronto finished with a record of 49-26-7 including 17-8-3-2 on home ice last year. They were 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They scored 277 goals and gave up 232 for a goal differential of +45. Their record against the spread was 52-37-0 while their over/under mark was 46-37-0.

Valuable Montreal Canadiens Betting Trends

The Montreal Canadiens were 29-53-0 straight up last year

The Montreal Canadiens were 37-42-0 against the over/under last season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs were 52-37-0 straight up last year

The Toronto Maple Leafs were 46-37-0 against the over/under last season

Key Montreal Canadiens Injuries

10/01/18 D David Schlemko Knee is out indefinitely
10/01/18 D Shea Weber Knee is out indefinitely
09/18/18 LW Nicolas Deslauriers Facial is out indefinitely

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

10/01/18 C Zach Hyman Hip is probable Wednesday vs Montreal

Player Spotlight

Alex Galchenyuk scored 51 total points last year for the Canadiens. He had 19 goals last season with 213 shots on net giving him a shooting percentage of 9%. He had a total of 32 assists on the year and averaged 16.2 minutes played per contest. Brendan Gallagher averaged 16.2 minutes of ice time per game last season. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 11% by tallying 31 goals on 278 attempts. He had 23 assists giving him a total of 54 points on the year. Carey Price had 16 wins and 26 losses last season in goal for the Canadiens. He had 1,487 shots against him and he surrendered 148 goals. He made 1,339 stops for a save percentage of 90%.

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner had 69 total points last season for the Maple Leafs. He had 22 goals last year with 194 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He had a total of 47 assists on the year and averaged 16.4 minutes played per contest. Auston Matthews averaged 18.1 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 18% by scoring 34 goals on 187 attempts. He had 29 assists giving him a total of 63 points on the year. Frederik Andersen had 38 wins and 21 losses last season in net for the Maple Leafs. He had 2,211 shots against him and he gave up 182 goals. He made 2,029 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Canadiens had 71 total points last year, which was 28th in the NHL. They scored 209 goals while giving up 264 scores, which had them ranked 29th and 5th respectively. They had 244 power play chances and scored 52 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 21%. That was 12th in the league. The Canadiens gave up 263 power play opportunities and surrendered 68 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 74%, ranking them 30th when short-handed. They averaged 33 shots per contest and as a team shot 7.78% for the year. They allowed 32 shot attempts to their opposition per game and had a team save percentage of 90%, which was 24th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs were 6th in the league with a total of 105 points last season. They had 56 power play goals on 224 chances for a percentage of 25%. That was 2nd in the NHL. They gave up 231 power play opportunities and surrendered 43 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, ranking 11th overall. As a team, the Maple Leafs were 2nd with a total of 277 goals scored while they gave up 232 goals last season, ranking 20th in goals against. They averaged 32 shots per game and had a team shooting percentage of 10.49%. As a unit they gave up 34 shots per contest and had a save percentage of 92%, putting them 4th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Montreal was 17th in the league in Corsi percentage last season with 49.9%, as they tried 4,987 shots on net at full strength while giving up 5,013 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage was 49.8% as they had 3,639 attempts while they gave up 3,662 shots on the defensive end. That ranked them 17th in the NHL. The Canadiens started possessions in the offensive zone 51.6% of the time, which was 12th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage was at 48.4% for the season. That was 20th overall in the NHL. They had 2,395 face-off wins compared to 2,642 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage was 47.5%. That ranked them 29th in the league. On defense Montreal had 2,169 hits and they blocked 1,351 shots from the opposition, putting them 2nd overall.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto was 15th in the league in Corsi percentage last season with 50.2%, as they tried 4,998 shots on net at full strength while giving up 4,965 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage was 49% as they had 3,709 attempts while they gave up 3,861 shots on the defensive end. That ranked them 21st in the NHL. The Maple Leafs started possessions in the offensive zone 48.9% of the time, which was 22nd in the league, while their defensive zone percentage was at 51.1% for the season. That was 10th overall in the NHL. They had 2,688 face-off wins compared to 2,499 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage was 51.8%. That ranked them 6th in the league. On defense Toronto had 1,632 hits and they blocked 1,104 shots from the opposition, putting them 27th overall.

Who will win tonight's Canadiens/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Montreal +144

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