Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks & Predictions 3/14/2018

Wednesday, March 14, 2018

Air Canada Centre

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Dallas Stars travel to Air Canada Centre to play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Wednesday, March 14, 2018. The opening line for this game has the Stars at +170 and the Maple Leafs at -230.

Dallas has a record of 38-25-6 this season and on the road they have a record of 14-15-3-2. They are 4th in the Central Division. They've scored 198 goals and given up 180 goals for a point differential of +18. For the season they have an ATS record of 38-31-0 and an over/under record of 34-33-0. Toronto has a record of 40-22-7 including 23-8-2-0 at home this season. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 228 goals and surrendered 197 for a goal differential of +31. Their record against the spread is 40-29-0 while their over/under record is 34-31-0.

Valuable Dallas Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars are 38-31-0 straight up this year

The Dallas Stars are 34-33-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 40-29-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 34-31-0 against the over/under this season

Key Dallas Stars Injuries

03/12/18 GO Ben Bishop Lower Body is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs Montreal
03/01/18 C Martin Hanzal Back is out for season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

11/06/17 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia IR (10/03)
03/10/18 D Nikita Zaitsev Flu is questionable Wednesday vs Dallas
02/25/18 C Auston Matthews Upper Body IR (02/22)

Player Spotlight

Kari Lehtonen has 12 wins and 8 losses this season in net for the Stars. He has 635 shots against him and he's given up 50 goals. He's made 585 saves for a save percentage of 92%. Jamie Benn has accumulated 60 total points this season for the Stars. He has 23 goals this year with 203 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He has a total of 37 assists on the season and averages 19.7 minutes played per game. Tyler Seguin averages 20.6 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 13% by scoring 36 goals on 277 shots. He has 29 assists, giving him a total of 65 points on the season.

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner has scored 56 total points this year for the Maple Leafs. He has 19 goals this season with 165 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 37 assists on the season and averages 16 minutes played per game. Frederik Andersen has 33 wins and 18 losses this year in goal for the Maple Leafs. He has 1,935 shots against him and he's surrendered 156 goals. He's made 1,779 saves for a save percentage of 92%. William Nylander averages 16.7 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 14 goals on 147 shots. He has 36 assists, giving him a total of 50 points on the season.

Useful Team Statistics

The Stars have allowed 239 power play opportunities and have given up 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 83% this year. That is 4th in the NHL. They average 32 shots per game and as a team shoot 9.10% for the season. They allow 30 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%, which is ranked 9th in the league. The Stars has 82 total points this season, ranking 11th in the NHL in offense. They are 19th in the league with 198 goals while they've given up 180 goals, which is 28th overall. They have had 212 power play opportunities and scored 42 goals on those chances for a percentage of 20%. That is 20th in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Maple Leafs are 5th with 228 goals scored while they are 20th in the NHL with 197 goals allowed this year. They average 32 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 10.38%. They give up 34 shots per game and have a save percentage of 92%, putting them in 5th place in the league. The Maple Leafs have a total of 87 points this year, which is 6th in the NHL. They have 41 power play goals on 188 opportunities for a percentage of 22%. That ranks their power play unit 7th. They've allowed 196 power play opportunities and have given up 34 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 83%, which is 7th overall.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 9th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 51%, as they've attempted 4,072 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 3,908 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 51.4% as they have 2,984 attempts while they have given up 2,826 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 11th in the league. The Stars start possessions in the offensive zone 48.7% of the time, which is 23rd in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 51.3% for the season. That is 6th overall in the NHL. They have 2,313 face-off wins compared to 2,032 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 53.2%. That ranks them 3rd in the league. On defense Dallas has 1,538 hits and they have blocked 1,082 shots from the opposition, putting them 7th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 26th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 48.8% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 51.2% for the season, which is 10th in the NHL. They have 2,261 face-off wins compared to 2,120 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.6%. That is 7th in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,403 hits and they have blocked 937 shots from the opposition, which is 28th in the league. Toronto is 18th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.7% as they've attempted 4,161 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,207 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 48.5% ranks 21st as they have 3,081 attempts while they have given up 3,270 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Stars/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto -230

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