Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks & Predictions 4/2/2018

Monday, April 2, 2018

Air Canada Centre

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Buffalo Sabres head to Air Canada Centre to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday, April 2, 2018. The opening line for this contest has the Sabres at +277 and the Maple Leafs at -315.

Buffalo has a record of 25-41-12 this year and away from home they have a record of 14-17-7-0. They are 8th in the Atlantic Division. They have tallied 187 goals and surrendered 260 goals for a point differential of -73. For the year they have an ATS mark of 25-53-0 and an over/under record of 35-38-0. Toronto has a record of 47-25-7 including 27-10-2-0 on home ice this year. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 267 goals and have given up 226 for a goal differential of +41. Their record against the spread is 47-32-0 while their over/under mark is 41-34-0.

Valuable Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 25-53-0 straight up this year

The Buffalo Sabres are 35-38-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 47-32-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 41-34-0 against the over/under this season

Key Buffalo Sabres Injuries

04/01/18 GO Robin Lehner Lower Body is "?" Monday vs Toronto
04/01/18 D Victor Antipin Undisclosed injured last game, is "?" Monday vs Toronto
04/01/18 GO Linus Ullmark Concussion is doubtful Monday vs Toronto
03/17/18 C Jacob Josefson Lower Body is out indefinitely
03/08/18 C Kyle Criscuolo Shoulder is out for season
02/08/18 D Jake McCabe Shoulder IR (02/06)
01/27/18 D Zach Bogosian Hip IR (01/09)

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

11/06/17 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia IR (10/03)

Player Spotlight

Ryan O'Reilly has scored 57 total points this year for the Sabres. He has 22 goals this season with 212 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He has a total of 35 assists on the year and averages 20.8 minutes played per contest. Sam Reinhart averages 17 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 13% by tallying 23 goals on 177 attempts. He has 24 assists, giving him a total of 47 points on the year. Robin Lehner has 14 wins and 26 losses this season in goal for the Sabres. He has 1,560 shots against him and he's surrendered 143 goals. He's made 1,417 stops for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner has 69 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 22 goals this year with 188 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 47 assists on the year and averages 16.4 minutes played per contest. William Nylander averages 16.7 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 17 goals on 177 attempts. He has 39 assists, giving him a total of 56 points on the year. Frederik Andersen has 37 wins and 20 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 2,139 shots against him and he's given up 178 goals. He's made 1,961 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Sabres have 62 total points this year, which is 31st in the NHL. They've scored 187 goals while giving up 260 scores, which has them ranked 31st and 3rd respectively. They have had 241 power play chances and scored 44 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 18%. That is 22nd in the league. The Sabres have given up 225 power play opportunities and surrendered 49 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 78%, ranking them 23rd when short-handed. They average 31 shots per contest and as a team shoot 7.74% for the year. They allow 33 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 90%, which is 27th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 6th in the league with a total of 101 points this season. They have 51 power play goals on 214 chances for a percentage of 24%. That is 3rd in the NHL. They've given up 220 power play opportunities and surrendered 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%, ranking 11th overall. As a team, the Maple Leafs are 2nd with a total of 267 goals scored while they've given up 226 goals this season, ranking 18th in goals against. They average 32 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 10.50%. As a unit they give up 34 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 92%, putting them 5th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Buffalo has a Corsi percentage of 48.3% as they've tried 4,249 shots on goal while at full strength while they have surrendered 4,546 shots on net when they have a full team on the ice. That ranks them 23rd in Corsi percentage. They are 23rd in the NHL in Fenwick percentage with 48.4% as they have 3,287 shots while they've given up 3,504 attempts on defense. The Sabres start possessions in the offensive zone 52.1% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 47.9% for the year. That puts them 10th and 20th in the league in zone percentages respectively. They have 2,421 face-off wins as opposed to 2,263 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.7%. That is 5th overall in the NHL. On defense Buffalo has 1,687 hits and they've blocked 1,042 attempts from opposing offenses, which is 29th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 48.9% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 51.1% for the year. That ranks them 25th and 10th respectively in the NHL. They have 2,583 face-off wins as opposed to 2,420 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.6%. That is 6th in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,567 hits and they've blocked 1,067 attempts from opposing offenses, ranking them 27th in blocked shots. Toronto is ranked 18th in Corsi percentage with 50.2% as they've tried 4,817 shots on goal while at full strength while they have surrendered 4,775 shots on net when they have a full team on the ice. Their Fenwick percentage is 21st in the NHL at 49.1%, as they have 3,573 shots while they've given up 3,708 attempts on defense.

Who will win tonight's Sabres/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo +277

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