Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks & Predictions 3/26/2018

Monday, March 26, 2018

Air Canada Centre

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Buffalo Sabres head to Air Canada Centre to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday, March 26, 2018. The opening line for this contest has the Sabres at +252 and the Maple Leafs at -285.

Buffalo has a record of 23-40-12 this year and away from home they have a record of 12-17-7-0. They are 8th in the Atlantic Division. They have tallied 174 goals and surrendered 248 goals for a point differential of -74. For the year they have an ATS mark of 23-52-0 and an over/under record of 33-37-0. Toronto has a record of 45-23-7 including 26-8-2-0 on home ice this year. They are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 255 goals and have given up 213 for a goal differential of +42. Their record against the spread is 45-30-0 while their over/under mark is 39-32-0.

Valuable Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 23-52-0 straight up this year

The Buffalo Sabres are 33-37-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 45-30-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 39-32-0 against the over/under this season

Key Buffalo Sabres Injuries

03/24/18 GO Chad Johnson Head is "?" Monday vs Toronto
03/17/18 C Jacob Josefson Lower Body is out indefinitely
03/08/18 C Kyle Criscuolo Shoulder is OUT 4-6 weeks
02/08/18 D Jake McCabe Shoulder IR (02/06)
01/27/18 D Zach Bogosian Hip IR (01/09)

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

11/06/17 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia IR (10/03)
03/19/18 C Leo Komarov Lower Body is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Sam Reinhart has scored 43 total points this year for the Sabres. He has 20 goals this season with 172 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 23 assists on the year and averages 17.1 minutes played per contest. Ryan O'Reilly averages 20.9 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by tallying 20 goals on 204 attempts. He has 33 assists, giving him a total of 53 points on the year. Robin Lehner has 14 wins and 26 losses this season in goal for the Sabres. He has 1,540 shots against him and he's surrendered 140 goals. He's made 1,400 stops for a save percentage of 91%.

Player Spotlight

William Nylander has 54 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 17 goals this year with 165 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He has a total of 37 assists on the year and averages 16.7 minutes played per contest. Mitch Marner averages 16.2 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 11% by scoring 20 goals on 180 attempts. He has 44 assists, giving him a total of 64 points on the year. Frederik Andersen has 35 wins and 19 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 2,046 shots against him and he's given up 168 goals. He's made 1,878 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Sabres have 58 total points this year, which is 31st in the NHL. They've scored 174 goals while giving up 248 scores, which has them ranked 31st and 3rd respectively. They have had 228 power play chances and scored 39 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 17%. That is 25th in the league. The Sabres have given up 215 power play opportunities and surrendered 47 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 78%, ranking them 23rd when short-handed. They average 31 shots per contest and as a team shoot 7.50% for the year. They allow 33 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 90%, which is 28th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 6th in the league with a total of 97 points this season. They have 48 power play goals on 206 chances for a percentage of 23%. That is 3rd in the NHL. They've given up 211 power play opportunities and surrendered 37 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%, ranking 9th overall. As a team, the Maple Leafs are 2nd with a total of 255 goals scored while they've given up 213 goals this season, ranking 20th in goals against. They average 32 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 10.60%. As a unit they give up 34 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 92%, putting them 5th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Buffalo is 21st in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 48.6%, as they've attempted 4,105 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,345 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 48.7% as they have 3,172 attempts while they have given up 3,345 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 19th in the league. The Sabres start possessions in the offensive zone 52.1% of the time, which is 9th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 47.9% for the season. That is 20th overall in the NHL. They have 2,337 face-off wins compared to 2,166 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.9%. That ranks them 6th in the league. On defense Buffalo has 1,630 hits and they have blocked 1,000 shots from the opposition, putting them 29th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 26th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 48.7% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 51.3% for the season, which is 10th in the NHL. They have 2,456 face-off wins compared to 2,313 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.5%. That is 7th in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,500 hits and they have blocked 1,022 shots from the opposition, which is 28th in the league. Toronto is 18th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.9% as they've attempted 4,541 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,554 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 48.8% ranks 22nd as they have 3,369 attempts while they have given up 3,532 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Sabres/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo +252

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