Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Picks & Predictions 11/29/2018

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Amalie Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Buffalo Sabres head to Amalie Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday, November 29, 2018. The opening line for this contest has the Sabres at +175 and the Lightning at -215.

Buffalo has a record of 17-6-2 this year. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They've tallied 79 goals and surrendered 68 goals for a point differential of +11. For the year they have an ATS mark of 17-8-0 and an over/under record of 12-12-0. Tampa Bay has a record of 17-7-1 this season. They are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They have scored 93 goals and given up 71 for a goal differential of +22. Their record against the spread is 17-8-0 while their over/under mark is 12-11-0.

Valuable Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 17-8-0 straight up this year

The Buffalo Sabres are 12-12-0 against the over/under this season

Important Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 17-8-0 straight up this year

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 12-11-0 against the over/under this season

Key Buffalo Sabres Injuries

10/04/18 C Scott Wilson Leg is out indefinitely
10/04/18 C Sean Malone Knee is out indefinitely
10/03/18 C Johan Larsson Foot IR (10/03)

Key Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

11/26/18 LW Ondrej Palat Lower Body is upgraded to questionable Tuesday vs Anaheim
11/26/18 C Steven Stamkos Upper Body is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Anaheim
11/25/18 D Anton Stralman Upper Body is questionable Tuesday vs Anaheim
11/15/18 GO Andrei Vasilevskiy Foot is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Jeff Skinner has scored 27 total points this year for the Sabres. He has 19 goals this season with 81 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 24%. He has a total of 8 assists on the year and averages 17.6 minutes played per contest. Jack Eichel averages 20 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 5% by tallying 5 goals on 103 attempts. He has 23 assists, giving him a total of 28 points on the year. Carter Hutton has 12 wins and 6 losses this season in goal for the Sabres. He has 578 shots against him and he's surrendered 46 goals. He's made 532 stops for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Brayden Point has 32 total points this season for the Lightning. He has 18 goals this year with 68 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 27%. He has a total of 14 assists on the year and averages 17.6 minutes played per contest. Nikita Kucherov averages 18.4 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 14% by scoring 9 goals on 64 attempts. He has 24 assists, giving him a total of 33 points on the year. Louis Domingue has 8 wins and 4 losses this season in net for the Lightning. He has 392 shots against him and he's given up 38 goals. He's made 354 saves for a save percentage of 90%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Sabres have 36 total points this year, which is 1st in the NHL. They've scored 79 goals while giving up 68 scores, which has them ranked 9th and 21st respectively. They have had 81 power play chances and scored 16 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 20%. That is 17th in the league. The Sabres have given up 72 power play opportunities and surrendered 13 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%, ranking them 8th when short-handed. They average 32 shots per contest and as a team shoot 9.78% for the year. They allow 33 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 92%, which is 5th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lightning are 2nd in the league with a total of 35 points this season. They have 24 power play goals on 90 chances for a percentage of 27%. That is 5th in the NHL. They've given up 89 power play opportunities and surrendered 17 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, ranking 12th overall. As a team, the Lightning are 1st with a total of 93 goals scored while they've given up 71 goals this season, ranking 19th in goals against. They average 33 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 11.36%. As a unit they give up 32 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 91%, putting them 9th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Buffalo is 17th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49.8%, as they've attempted 1,409 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 1,420 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 50.1% as they have 1,107 attempts while they have given up 1,103 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 16th in the league. The Sabres start possessions in the offensive zone 50.2% of the time, which is 17th in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 49.8% for the season. That is 15th overall in the NHL. They have 722 face-off wins compared to 789 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 47.8%. That ranks them 27th in the league. On defense Buffalo has 462 hits and they have blocked 317 shots from the opposition, putting them 27th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Lightning are 15th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50.7% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage is at 49.3% for the season, which is 17th in the NHL. They have 741 face-off wins compared to 755 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 49.5%. That is 19th in the league. On defense Tampa Bay has 612 hits and they have blocked 347 shots from the opposition, which is 14th in the league. Tampa Bay is 9th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 50.8% as they've attempted 1,489 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 1,441 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 50.6% ranks 13th as they have 1,119 attempts while they have given up 1,094 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Sabres/Lightning NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo +175

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