Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks & Predictions 4/23/2018

Monday, April 23, 2018

Air Canada Centre

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Boston Bruins head to Air Canada Centre to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday, April 23, 2018 in Game 6 of their 1st round series. Boston leads the series 3-2. The opening line for this contest has the Bruins at -121 and the Maple Leafs at -107.

Boston had a record of 50-20-12 this year and away from home they had a record of 22-12-7-3. They were 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They tallied 270 goals and surrendered 214 goals for a point differential of +56. For the year they have an ATS mark of 53-34-0 and an over/under record of 39-43-0. Toronto had a regular season record of 49-26-7 including 29-10-2-0 on home ice this year. They were 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They scored 277 goals and gave up 232 for a goal differential of +45. Their record against the spread is 51-36-0 while their over/under mark is 45-36-0.

Valuable Boston Bruins Betting Trends

The Boston Bruins are 53-34-0 straight up this year

The Boston Bruins are 39-43-0 against the over/under this season

Important Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 51-36-0 straight up this year

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 45-36-0 against the over/under this season

Key Boston Bruins Injuries

04/01/18 D Brandon Carlo Lower Body is out indefinitely
02/01/18 LW Anders Bjork Shoulder IR (01/30)

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

04/21/18 C Leo Komarov Lower Body is "?" Monday vs Boston
04/08/18 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia IR (10/03)

Player Spotlight

David Pastrnak has scored 80 total points this year for the Bruins. He has 35 goals this season with 246 shots on net, giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He has a total of 45 assists on the year and averages 18 minutes played per contest. Brad Marchand averages 19.7 minutes of ice time per game this season. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 19% by tallying 34 goals on 182 attempts. He has 51 assists, giving him a total of 85 points on the year. Tuukka Rask has 34 wins and 14 losses this season in goal for the Bruins. He has 1,513 shots against him and he's surrendered 125 goals. He's made 1,388 stops for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner has 69 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 22 goals this year with 194 shots on goal, giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He has a total of 47 assists on the year and averages 16.4 minutes played per contest. Auston Matthews averages 18.1 minutes of ice time per contest. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 18% by scoring 34 goals on 187 attempts. He has 29 assists, giving him a total of 63 points on the year. Frederik Andersen has 38 wins and 21 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has 2,211 shots against him and he's given up 182 goals. He's made 2,029 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bruins have 112 total points this year, which is 4th in the NHL. They've scored 270 goals while giving up 214 scores, which has them ranked 6th and 29th respectively. They have had 258 power play chances and scored 61 goals on those opportunities for a percentage of 24%. That is 4th in the league. The Bruins have given up 245 power play opportunities and surrendered 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 84%, ranking them 3rd when short-handed. They average 33 shots per contest and as a team shoot 9.99% for the year. They allow 29 shot attempts to their opposition per game and have a team save percentage of 91%, which is 9th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs are 6th in the league with a total of 105 points this season. They have 56 power play goals on 224 chances for a percentage of 25%. That is 2nd in the NHL. They've given up 231 power play opportunities and surrendered 43 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, ranking 11th overall. As a team, the Maple Leafs are 2nd with a total of 277 goals scored while they've given up 232 goals this season, ranking 21st in goals against. They average 32 shots per game and have a team shooting percentage of 10.49%. As a unit they give up 34 shots per contest and have a save percentage of 92%, putting them 4th overall in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 2nd in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 52.7%, as they've attempted 4,909 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,404 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is 52.8% as they have 3,732 attempts while they have given up 3,332 shots on the defensive end. That ranks them 2nd in the league. The Bruins start possessions in the offensive zone 55.1% of the time, which is 3rd in the league, while their defensive zone percentage is at 44.9% for the season. That is 29th overall in the NHL. They have 2,577 face-off wins compared to 2,501 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 50.7%. That ranks them 9th in the league. On defense Boston has 1,914 hits and they have blocked 1,072 shots from the opposition, putting them 30th overall.

Advanced Statistics

The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 48.9% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 51.1% for the year. That ranks them 26th and 10th respectively in the NHL. They have 2,688 face-off wins as opposed to 2,499 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage is 51.8%. That is 6th in the league. On defense Toronto has 1,632 hits and they've blocked 1,104 attempts from opposing offenses, ranking them 27th in blocked shots. Toronto is ranked 18th in Corsi percentage with 50.2% as they've tried 4,998 shots on goal while at full strength while they have surrendered 4,965 shots on net when they have a full team on the ice. Their Fenwick percentage is 22nd in the NHL at 49%, as they have 3,709 shots while they've given up 3,861 attempts on defense.

Who will win tonight's Bruins/Maple Leafs NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Boston -121

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