Toronto Maple Leafs at Winnipeg Jets NHL Picks & Predictions 10/4/2017

Wednesday, October 4, 2017

Bell MTS Place

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to Bell MTS Place to play the Winnipeg Jets on Wednesday, October 4, 2017. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +106 and the Jets at -132.

Toronto had a record of 40-27-15 last season and on the road they had a record of 19-14-8. They finished 4th in the Atlantic Division. They scored 251 goals and gave up 242 goals for a point differential of +9. For the season they had an ATS record of 42-46-0 and an over/under record of 42-45-0. Winnipeg finished with a record of 40-35-7 including 22-18-1 at home last season. They were 5th in the Central Division. They scored 249 goals and surrendered 256 for a goal differential of -7. Their record against the spread was 40-42-0 while their over/under record was 43-34-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs were 42-46-0 straight up last year

The Toronto Maple Leafs were 42-45-0 against the over/under last season

Important Winnipeg Jets Betting Trends

The Winnipeg Jets were 40-42-0 straight up last year

The Winnipeg Jets were 43-34-0 against the over/under last season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

9/14/2017 Nathan Horton RW Back
9/14/2017 Joffrey Lupul RW Abdomen

Key Winnipeg Jets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Mitch Marner accumulated 61 total points last season for the Maple Leafs. He had 19 goals last year with 173 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 11%. He had a total of 42 assists on the season and averaged 16.8 minutes played per game. Auston Matthews averaged 17.6 minutes of ice time per game last year. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 14% by scoring 39 goals on 272 shots. He had 28 assists giving him a total of 67 points on the season. Frederik Andersen had 33 wins and 16 losses last season in net for the Maple Leafs. He had 2,052 shots against him and he gave up 169 goals. He made 1,883 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Player Spotlight

Mark Scheifele scored 81 total points last year for the Jets. He had 32 goals last season with 156 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 21%. He had a total of 49 assists on the season and averaged 20.6 minutes played per game. Patrik Laine averaged 17.9 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 18% by scoring 36 goals on 200 shots. He had 28 assists giving him a total of 64 points on the season. Steve Mason had 26 wins and 21 losses last year in goal for the Jets. He had 1,556 shots against him and he surrendered 143 goals. He made 1,413 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs had 95 total points last season, which ranked them 14th in the NHL. They were 5th in the league in goals scored with 251 while they gave up 242 goals, ranking them 9th overall. They had 244 power play opportunities and scored 57 goals on those chances for a percentage of 23%. That was 2nd in the NHL. The Maple Leafs allowed 251 power play opportunities and gave up 44 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%, putting them 10th in the league when short-handed. They averaged 32 shots per game and as a team shot 9.59% for the season. They allowed 33 shots to their opposition per contest and had a team save percentage of 91%. That put them 13th in the league in stopping the puck.

Useful Team Statistics

The Jets were 21st in the NHL with a total of 87 points last year. They had 48 power play goals on 264 opportunities for a percentage of 18%. That ranked them 18th in the league as a power play unit. They allowed 275 power play opportunities and gave up 62 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 77%. That was 26th in the NHL. As a team, the Jets were 7th in the league with 249 goals scored while they gave up 256 goals, which was 4th overall. They averaged 30 shots per contest and had a team shooting percentage of 10.17%. As a team they gave up 31 shots per game and had a save percentage of 90%. That was 28th in the NHL.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto had a Corsi percentage of 50.1% as they tried 4,980 shots on goal while at full strength while they surrendered 4,965 shots on net when they had a full team on the ice. That ranked them 20th in Corsi percentage. They were 20th in the NHL in Fenwick percentage with 49.7% as they had 3,758 shots while they gave up 3,799 attempts on defense. The Maple Leafs started possessions in the offensive zone 50.2% of the time while their defensive zone percentage was at 49.8% for the year. That put them 19th and 14th in the league in zone percentages respectively. They had 2,523 face-off wins as opposed to 2,531 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage was 49.9%. That was 16th overall in the NHL. On defense Toronto had 1,936 hits and they blocked 1,166 attempts from opposing offenses, which was 14th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

The Jets were 20th in the league in starting possessions in the offensive zone, doing so 50.1% of the time. Their defensive zone percentage was at 49.9% for the season, which was 15th in the NHL. They had 2,364 face-off wins compared to 2,509 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage was 48.5%. That was 21st in the league. On defense Winnipeg had 1,906 hits and they blocked 1,177 shots from the opposition, which was 13th in the league. Winnipeg was 24th in the NHL in Corsi percentage with 49% as they attempted 4,431 shots on net at full strength while they gave up 4,618 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage of 49.4% ranked 23rd as they had 3,360 attempts while they gave up 3,441 shots on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Jets NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Winnipeg -132

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