Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings NHL Picks & Predictions 9/29/2017

Friday, September 29, 2017

Little Ceasars Arena

Get todays NHL hockey odds on this game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to Little Ceasars Arena to play the Detroit Red Wings on Friday, September 29, 2017. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +110 and the Red Wings at -130.

Toronto had a record of 40-27-15 last season and on the road they had a record of 19-14-8. They finished 4th in the Atlantic Division. They scored 251 goals and gave up 242 goals for a point differential of +9. For the season they had an ATS record of 42-46-0 and an over/under record of 42-45-0. Detroit finished with a record of 33-36-13 including 17-17-7 at home last season. They were 7th in the Atlantic Division. They scored 207 goals and surrendered 244 for a goal differential of -37. Their record against the spread was 33-49-0 while their over/under record was 36-34-0.

Valuable Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs were 42-46-0 straight up last year

The Toronto Maple Leafs were 42-45-0 against the over/under last season

Important Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends

The Detroit Red Wings were 33-49-0 straight up last year

The Detroit Red Wings were 36-34-0 against the over/under last season

Key Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

9/26/2017 Roman Polak D Lower Leg
9/14/2017 Nathan Horton RW Back
9/14/2017 Joffrey Lupul RW Abdomen

Key Detroit Red Wings Injuries

9/26/2017 Evgeny Svechnikov LW Neck
9/25/2017 Eric Tangradi LW Knee
9/24/2017 Justin Abdelkader LW Lower Body
9/24/2017 Niklas Kronwall D Back
9/24/2017 Henrik Zetterberg LW Neck
9/23/2017 Tyler Bertuzzi LW Wrist
9/2/2017 Johan Franzen LW Concussion

Player Spotlight

Frederik Andersen had 33 wins and 16 losses last season in net for the Maple Leafs. He had 2,052 shots against him and he gave up 169 goals. He made 1,883 saves for a save percentage of 92%. Auston Matthews accumulated 67 total points last season for the Maple Leafs. He had 39 goals last year with 272 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He had a total of 28 assists on the season and averaged 17.6 minutes played per game. Mitch Marner averaged 16.8 minutes of ice time per game last year. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 11% by scoring 19 goals on 173 shots. He had 42 assists giving him a total of 61 points on the season.

Player Spotlight

Anthony Mantha scored 36 total points last year for the Red Wings. He had 17 goals last season with 133 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 13%. He had a total of 19 assists on the season and averaged 15.9 minutes played per game. Jimmy Howard had 10 wins and 11 losses last year in goal for the Red Wings. He had 675 shots against him and he surrendered 49 goals. He made 626 saves for a save percentage of 93%. Henrik Zetterberg averaged 19.7 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 9% by scoring 16 goals on 187 shots. He had 50 assists giving him a total of 66 points on the season.

Useful Team Statistics

The Maple Leafs allowed 251 power play opportunities and gave up 44 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82% last year. That was 10th in the NHL. They averaged 32 shots per game and as a team shot 9.59% for the season. They allowed 33 shots to their opposition per contest and had a team save percentage of 91%, which was ranked 13th in the league. The Maple Leafs had 95 total points last season, ranking 14th in the NHL in offense. They were 5th in the league with 251 goals while giving up 242 goals, which was 9th overall. They had 244 power play opportunities and scored 57 goals on those chances for a percentage of 23%. That was 2nd in the NHL.

Useful Team Statistics

As a team, the Red Wings were 24th with 207 goals scored while they were 5th in the NHL with 244 goals allowed last year. They averaged 28 shots per contest and had a team shooting percentage of 8.87%. They gave up 31 shots per game and had a save percentage of 90%, putting them in 25th place in the league. The Red Wings had a total of 79 points last year, which was 25th in the NHL. They had 38 power play goals on 252 opportunities for a percentage of 15%. That ranked their power play unit 27th. They allowed 235 power play opportunities and gave up 45 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%, which was 16th overall.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto had a Corsi percentage of 50.1% as they tried 4,980 shots on goal while at full strength while they surrendered 4,965 shots on net when they had a full team on the ice. That ranked them 20th in Corsi percentage. They were 20th in the NHL in Fenwick percentage with 49.7% as they had 3,758 shots while they gave up 3,799 attempts on defense. The Maple Leafs started possessions in the offensive zone 50.2% of the time while their defensive zone percentage was at 49.8% for the year. That put them 19th and 14th in the league in zone percentages respectively. They had 2,523 face-off wins as opposed to 2,531 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage was 49.9%. That was 16th overall in the NHL. On defense Toronto had 1,936 hits and they blocked 1,166 attempts from opposing offenses, which was 14th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Detroit had a Corsi percentage of 48.5% as they tried 4,286 shots on goal while at full strength while they surrendered 4,546 shots on net when they had a full team on the ice. That ranked them 22nd in Corsi percentage. They were 25th in the NHL in Fenwick percentage with 48.4% as they had 3,270 shots while they gave up 3,480 attempts on defense. The Red Wings started possessions in the offensive zone 52.3% of the time while their defensive zone percentage was at 47.7% for the year. That put them 9th and 20th in the league in zone percentages respectively. They had 2,520 face-off wins as opposed to 2,338 losses, meaning their face-off win percentage was 51.9%. That was 5th overall in the NHL. On defense Detroit had 1,644 hits and they blocked 1,066 attempts from opposing offenses, which was 25th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Maple Leafs/Red Wings NHL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Detroit -130

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