Monday, January 16, 2017

First Niagara Center

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The Dallas Stars travel to First Niagara Center to play the Buffalo Sabres on Monday, January 16, 2017. The opening line for this game has the Stars at -111 and the Sabres at +101. The over/under has been set at 5.5.

Dallas comes into this matchup having played 44 games. They have an overall record of 18-18-8 and on the road they have a record of 6-11-4. Currently they are 5th in the Central Division. They've scored 118 goals and given up 134 goals for a point differential of -16. The Stars have an overall record of 5-4-1 in their last 10 games. For the season they have an ATS record of 18-26 and an over/under record of 21-23-0. Buffalo shows up with a record of 16-17-9 including 9-8-3 at home this season. They are 8th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 97 goals and surrendered 119 for a goal differential of -22. The Sabres have a record of 4-5-1 in their last 10 contests. Their record against the spread is 15-26 while their over/under record sits at 17-21-4.

Jason Spezza has accumulated 27 total points this season for the Stars. He has 7 goals this season with 84 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 8%. He has a total of 20 assists on the season and averages 16 minutes played per game. Tyler Seguin has averaged 19 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 16 goals on 156 shots. He has 27 assists giving him a total of 43 points on the season. Kari Lehtonen has 9 wins and 11 losses this season in net for the Stars. He has had 678 shots against him and has given up 69 goals. He has made 609 saves for a save percentage of 90%.

Sam Reinhart has accumulated 27 total points this season for the Sabres. He has 9 goals this season with 90 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 10%. He has a total of 18 assists on the season and averages 17 minutes played per game. Kyle Okposo has averaged 19 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 12% by scoring 12 goals on 103 shots. He has 15 assists giving him a total of 27 points on the season. Robin Lehner has 9 wins and 12 losses this season in net for the Sabres. He has had 843 shots against him and has given up 67 goals. He has made 776 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

The Stars have 44 total points this season. They have scored 118 goals while giving up 134 goals. They have had 153 power play opportunities and have scored 26 goals on those chances for a percentage of 17%. The Stars have allowed 149 power play opportunities and given up 37 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 75%. They average 30 shots per game and as a team are shooting 8.95% for the season to this point. They allow 30 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 90%.

The Sabres have a total of 41 points on the season. They have 29 power play goals on 136 opportunities thus far for a percentage of 21%. They have allowed 128 power play opportunities and have given up 33 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 74%. As a team, the Stars have a total of 97 goals scored while they've given up 119 goals to this point. They average 29 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 7.91%. As a team they give up 33 shots per game and have a save percentage of 92%.

Dallas has a Corsi percentage of 49.6% as they've attempted 2,583 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 2,623 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is at 50.4% as they have 1,936 attempts while they've given up 1,903 shots on the defensive end. The Stars start possessions in the offensive zone 47% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 53% for the season. They have 1,380 face off wins compared to 1,412 losses, meaning their faceoff win percentage is 49.4%. On defense Dallas has 875 hits and they've blocked 720 shots from the opposition.

Buffalo has attempted 2,215 shots at full strength and they've given up 2,463 attempts, meaning their Corsi percentage is at 47.3% for the season. In terms of Fenwick percentage, they currently are at 46.8% as they have 1,666 shots while they've given up 1,895 attempts on defense. The Sabres have an offensive zone percentage of 48.2% and their defensive zone percentage is 51.8% so far this season. They have a faceoff win percentage of 50.4% as they've compiled 1,283 face off wins this season and they have suffered 1,261 face off losses. On defense Buffalo has blocked 568 shot attempts and they have 1,015 hits as a unit.

Dallas Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars are 18-26 straight up

The Dallas Stars are 21-23-0 against the over/under

Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 15-26 straight up

The Buffalo Sabres are 17-21-4 against the over/under

Dallas Stars Injuries

12/07/16 D Julius Honka Wrist out indefinitely
11/01/16 C Mattias Janmark Knee expected to miss 5-6 months
10/31/16 RW Ales Hemsky Hip expected to miss 5-6 months
01/12/17 D Jamie Oleksiak Hand out indefinitely

Buffalo Sabres Injuries

12/31/16 C Johan Larsson Wrist out for season
12/30/16 D Dmitry Kulikov Back out indefinitely
11/12/16 C Cody McCormick Blood Clot out indefinitely
11/10/16 LW Tyler Ennis Groin out indefinitely
01/15/17 D Josh Gorges Hip "?" Monday vs. Dallas
01/15/17 GO Robin Lehner Flu "?" Monday vs. Dallas

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas -111

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