Monday, March 28, 2016

Amalie Arena

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to Amalie Arena to play the Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday, March 28, 2016. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +220 and the Lightning at -260. The over/under has been set at 5.

Toronto comes into this matchup having played 74 games. They have an overall record of 27-36-11 and on the road they have a record of 13-21-2. Currently they are 8th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 181 goals and given up 217 goals for a point differential of -36. The Maple Leafs have 11 overtime losses including 6 of them in a shootout. In the past 10 games they have an overall record of 6-3-1. For the season they have an ATS record of 25-47 and an over/under record of 29-34-11. Tampa Bay shows up with a record of 43-27-5 including 23-12-3 at home this season. They are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 211 goals and surrendered 182 for a goal differential of +29. The Lightning have 5 losses in OT and 3 of them occurred in a shootout. They have a record of 4-5-1 in their last 10 contests. Their record against the spread is 42-32 while their over/under record sits at 31-35-9.

Nazem Kadri has accumulated 41 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 14 goals this season with 243 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 6%. He has a total of 27 assists on the season and averages 18 minutes played per game. Leo Komarov has averaged 18 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 15% by scoring 19 goals on 129 shots. He has 17 assists giving him a total of 36 points on the season. Jonathan Bernier has 10 wins and 20 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has had 1,000 shots against him and has given up 94 goals. He has made 906 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Steven Stamkos has accumulated 62 total points this season for the Lightning. He has 36 goals this season with 210 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 17%. He has a total of 26 assists on the season and averages 20 minutes played per game. Nikita Kucherov has averaged 18 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 15% by scoring 29 goals on 195 shots. He has 33 assists giving him a total of 62 points on the season. Ben Bishop has 32 wins and 19 losses this season in net for the Lightning. He has had 1,544 shots against him and has given up 113 goals. He has made 1,431 saves for a save percentage of 93%.

The Maple Leafs have 65 total points this season. They have scored 175 goals while giving up 211 goals. They have had 233 power play opportunities and have scored 35 goals on those chances for a percentage of 15%. The Maple Leafs have allowed 242 power play opportunities and given up 48 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 80%. They average 31 shots per game and as a team are shooting 7.63% for the season to this point. They allow 30 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%.

The Lightning have a total of 91 points on the season. They have 42 power play goals on 251 opportunities thus far for a percentage of 17%. They have allowed 228 power play opportunities and have given up 37 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 84%. As a team, the Maple Leafs have a total of 208 goals scored while they've given up 179 goals to this point. They average 29 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 9.45%. As a team they give up 29 shots per game and have a save percentage of 92%.

Toronto has a Corsi percentage of 52.8% as they've attempted 4,598 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,105 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is at 51.8% as they have 3,390 attempts while they've given up 3,157 shots on the defensive end. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 51.1% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 48.9% for the season. They have 2,394 face off wins compared to 2,292 losses, meaning their faceoff win percentage is 51.1%. On defense Toronto has 1,981 hits and they've blocked 948 shots from the opposition.

Tampa Bay has attempted 4,162 shots at full strength and they've given up 3,992 attempts, meaning their Corsi percentage is at 51% for the season. In terms of Fenwick percentage, they currently are at 50.6% as they have 3,115 shots while they've given up 3,037 attempts on defense. The Lightning have an offensive zone percentage of 53.4% and their defensive zone percentage is 46.6% so far this season. They have a faceoff win percentage of 49.5% as they've compiled 2,174 face off wins this season and they have suffered 2,221 face off losses. On defense Tampa Bay has blocked 955 shot attempts and they have 1,518 hits as a unit.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 25-47 straight up

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 29-34-11 against the over/under

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 42-32 straight up

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 31-35-9 against the over/under

Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

11/17/15 RW Nathan Horton Back out indefinitely
10/17/15 D Stephane Robidas Knee out for season
03/26/16 C Leo Komarov Lower Body out indefinitely
03/26/16 LW Nikita Soshinkov Upper Body out indefinitely
03/19/16 C Peter Holland Upper Body expected to miss 1-2 weeks
03/12/16 D Jared Cowen Hip out indefinitely
03/08/16 D Matt Hunwick Hernia out for season
02/29/16 C Byron Froese Hand out indefinitely
02/25/16 LW James Van Riemsdyk Foot out for season
02/25/16 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia out for season

Tampa Bay Lightning Injuries

10/06/14 D Mattias Ohlund Knee out indefinitely
03/26/16 D Anton Stralman Fibula is downgraded to out indefinitely
03/26/16 RW Nikita Kucherov Lower Body "?" Monday vs Toronto
03/25/16 RW Ryan Callahan Lower Body out indefinitely
03/15/16 C Valtteri Filppula Upper Body out indefinitely

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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