Thursday, March 31, 2016

First Niagara Center

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to First Niagara Center to play the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday, March 31, 2016. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +120 and the Sabres at -140. The over/under has been set at 5.

Toronto comes into this matchup having played 76 games. They have an overall record of 28-37-11 and on the road they have a record of 14-22-2. Currently they are 8th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 186 goals and given up 222 goals for a point differential of -36. The Maple Leafs have 11 overtime losses including 6 of them in a shootout. In the past 10 games they have an overall record of 6-4-0. For the season they have an ATS record of 26-48 and an over/under record of 30-35-11. Buffalo shows up with a record of 31-35-11 including 15-18-6 at home this season. They are 7th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 185 goals and surrendered 210 for a goal differential of -25. The Sabres have 11 losses in OT and 7 of them occurred in a shootout. They have a record of 4-4-2 in their last 10 contests. Their record against the spread is 30-46 while their over/under record sits at 25-31-21.

Nazem Kadri has accumulated 44 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 17 goals this season with 253 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 7%. He has a total of 27 assists on the season and averages 18 minutes played per game. Leo Komarov has averaged 18 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 15% by scoring 19 goals on 129 shots. He has 17 assists giving him a total of 36 points on the season. Jonathan Bernier has 11 wins and 20 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has had 1,034 shots against him and has given up 96 goals. He has made 938 saves for a save percentage of 91%.

Ryan O'Reilly has accumulated 55 total points this season for the Sabres. He has 18 goals this season with 145 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He has a total of 37 assists on the season and averages 22 minutes played per game. Jack Eichel has averaged 19 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 10% by scoring 23 goals on 224 shots. He has 27 assists giving him a total of 50 points on the season. Chad Johnson has 19 wins and 16 losses this season in net for the Sabres. He has had 1,189 shots against him and has given up 97 goals. He has made 1,092 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

The Maple Leafs have 67 total points this season. They have scored 180 goals while giving up 216 goals. They have had 244 power play opportunities and have scored 38 goals on those chances for a percentage of 16%. The Maple Leafs have allowed 248 power play opportunities and given up 48 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%. They average 31 shots per game and as a team are shooting 7.64% for the season to this point. They allow 30 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 91%.

The Sabres have a total of 73 points on the season. They have 45 power play goals on 238 opportunities thus far for a percentage of 19%. They have allowed 203 power play opportunities and have given up 36 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 82%. As a team, the Maple Leafs have a total of 183 goals scored while they've given up 203 goals to this point. They average 30 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 8.03%. As a team they give up 31 shots per game and have a save percentage of 92%.

Toronto has a Corsi percentage of 52.9% as they've attempted 4,705 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 4,191 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is at 51.8% as they have 3,477 attempts while they've given up 3,232 shots on the defensive end. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 51.4% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 48.6% for the season. They have 2,449 face off wins compared to 2,349 losses, meaning their faceoff win percentage is 51%. On defense Toronto has 2,013 hits and they've blocked 959 shots from the opposition.

Buffalo has attempted 4,070 shots at full strength and they've given up 4,332 attempts, meaning their Corsi percentage is at 48.4% for the season. In terms of Fenwick percentage, they currently are at 48.2% as they have 3,084 shots while they've given up 3,309 attempts on defense. The Sabres have an offensive zone percentage of 49.7% and their defensive zone percentage is 50.3% so far this season. They have a faceoff win percentage of 49.2% as they've compiled 2,275 face off wins this season and they have suffered 2,352 face off losses. On defense Buffalo has blocked 1,023 shot attempts and they have 1,823 hits as a unit.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 26-48 straight up

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 30-35-11 against the over/under

Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 30-46 straight up

The Buffalo Sabres are 25-31-21 against the over/under

Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

11/17/15 RW Nathan Horton Back out indefinitely
10/17/15 D Stephane Robidas Knee out for season
03/29/16 D Viktor Loov Upper Body out indefinitely
03/26/16 C Leo Komarov Lower Body out indefinitely
03/26/16 LW Nikita Soshinkov Upper Body out indefinitely
03/19/16 C Peter Holland Upper Body expected to miss 1-2 weeks
03/12/16 D Jared Cowen Hip out indefinitely
03/08/16 D Matt Hunwick Hernia out for season
02/29/16 C Byron Froese Hand out indefinitely
02/25/16 LW James Van Riemsdyk Foot out for season
02/25/16 LW Joffrey Lupul Hernia out for season

Buffalo Sabres Injuries

10/06/15 C Cody McCormick Blood Clot out indefinitely
03/29/16 LW Evander Kane Upper Body "?" Thursday vs Toronto
03/29/16 GO Robin Lehner Ankle "?" Thursday vs Toronto
03/25/16 GO Jason Kasdorf Groin out indefinitely
02/24/16 D Cody Franson Concussion out indefinitely
01/02/16 C Tyler Ennis Concussion out indefinitely

Josh's Pick: Take Buffalo

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