Thursday, November 3, 2016

First Niagara Center

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The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to First Niagara Center to play the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday, November 3, 2016. The opening line for this game has the Maple Leafs at +106 and the Sabres at -132. The over/under has been set at 5.5.

Toronto comes into this matchup having played 10 games. They have an overall record of 3-4-3 and on the road they have a record of 0-3-3. Currently they are 8th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 29 goals and given up 37 goals for a point differential of -8. The Maple Leafs have an overall record of 3-4-3 in their last 10 games. For the season they have an ATS record of 3-7 and an over/under record of 5-5-0. Buffalo shows up with a record of 4-3-2 including 1-2-0 at home this season. They are 6th in the Atlantic Division. They've scored 22 goals and surrendered 22 for a goal differential of 0. The Sabres have a record of 4-3-2 in their last 10 contests. Their record against the spread is 4-5 while their over/under record sits at 3-6-0.

Auston Matthews has accumulated 10 total points this season for the Maple Leafs. He has 6 goals this season with 42 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 14%. He has a total of 4 assists on the season and averages 17 minutes played per game. Nazem Kadri has averaged 15 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 24% by scoring 5 goals on 21 shots. He has 3 assists giving him a total of 8 points on the season. Frederik Andersen has 3 wins and 2 losses this season in net for the Maple Leafs. He has had 256 shots against him and has given up 28 goals. He has made 228 saves for a save percentage of 89%.

Ryan O'Reilly has accumulated 8 total points this season for the Sabres. He has 4 goals this season with 25 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 16%. He has a total of 4 assists on the season and averages 22 minutes played per game. Kyle Okposo has averaged 19 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he has a shooting percentage of 24% by scoring 4 goals on 17 shots. He has 3 assists giving him a total of 7 points on the season. Robin Lehner has 3 wins and 2 losses this season in net for the Sabres. He has had 177 shots against him and has given up 14 goals. He has made 163 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

The Maple Leafs have 9 total points this season. They have scored 29 goals while giving up 37 goals. They have had 29 power play opportunities and have scored 6 goals on those chances for a percentage of 21%. The Maple Leafs have allowed 32 power play opportunities and given up 6 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%. They average 34 shots per game and as a team are shooting 8.45% for the season to this point. They allow 32 shots to their opposition per contest and have a team save percentage of 89%.

The Sabres have a total of 10 points on the season. They have 8 power play goals on 33 opportunities thus far for a percentage of 24%. They have allowed 31 power play opportunities and have given up 5 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 84%. As a team, the Maple Leafs have a total of 22 goals scored while they've given up 22 goals to this point. They average 27 shots per contest and have a team shooting percentage of 9.05%. As a team they give up 30 shots per game and have a save percentage of 93%.

Toronto has a Corsi percentage of 51.2% as they've attempted 642 shots on net at full strength while they've given up 613 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage is at 51.2% as they have 474 attempts while they've given up 452 shots on the defensive end. The Maple Leafs start possessions in the offensive zone 49.6% of the time while their defensive zone percentage is at 50.4% for the season. They have 314 face off wins compared to 304 losses, meaning their faceoff win percentage is 50.8%. On defense Toronto has 252 hits and they've blocked 161 shots from the opposition.

Buffalo has attempted 432 shots at full strength and they've given up 505 attempts, meaning their Corsi percentage is at 46.1% for the season. In terms of Fenwick percentage, they currently are at 46.2% as they have 336 shots while they've given up 392 attempts on defense. The Sabres have an offensive zone percentage of 46.8% and their defensive zone percentage is 53.2% so far this season. They have a faceoff win percentage of 54.3% as they've compiled 315 face off wins this season and they have suffered 265 face off losses. On defense Buffalo has blocked 113 shot attempts and they have 186 hits as a unit.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 3-7 straight up

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 5-5-0 against the over/under

Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends

The Buffalo Sabres are 4-5 straight up

The Buffalo Sabres are 3-6-0 against the over/under

Toronto Maple Leafs Injuries

10/29/16 D Matt Hunwick Lower Body out indefinitely
10/18/16 LW Josh Leivo Lower Body out indefinitely
10/09/16 LW Joffrey Lupul Abdominal out indefinitely
10/09/16 RW Nathan Horton Back out indefinitely

Buffalo Sabres Injuries

11/01/16 RW Hudson Fasching Groin "?" Thursday vs Toronto
11/01/16 D Zach Bogosian Knee injured last game, "?" Thursday vs Toronto
10/31/16 LW Nicolas Deslauriers Knee out indefinitely
10/13/16 LW Evander Kane Ribs out indefinitely
10/12/16 C Jack Eichel Ankle out indefinitely

Josh's Pick: Take Buffalo

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