Monday, June 6, 2016

SAP Center

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The Pittsburgh Penguins travel to SAP Center to play the San Jose Sharks on Monday in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Finals. Pittsburgh leads the series 2-1. The opening line for this game has the Penguins at +117 and the Sharks at -139. The over/under has been set at 5.

Pittsburgh comes into this matchup after having a regular season record of 48-26-8 and on the road they had a record of 22-15-4. They finished 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They scored 245 goals and gave up 203 goals for a point differential of +42. The Penguins had 8 overtime losses including 4 of them in a shootout. In their last 10 games they had an overall record of 8-2-0. For the season they had an ATS record of 45-33 and an over/under record of 36-32-14. San Jose had a regular season record of 46-30-6 including 18-20-3 at home this season. They were 3rd in the Pacific Division. They scored 241 goals and surrendered 210 for a goal differential of +31. The Sharks had 6 losses in OT and 3 of them occurred in a shootout. They had a record of 5-5-0 in their last 10 contests. Their record against the spread was 43-36 while their over/under record sat at 42-33-7.

Kris Letang accumulated 67 total points this season for the Penguins. He had 16 goals this season with 218 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 7%. He had a total of 51 assists on the season and averaged 27 minutes played per game. Sidney Crosby averaged 20 minutes of ice time per game this year. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 15% by scoring 36 goals on 248 shots. He had 49 assists giving him a total of 85 points on the season. Marc-Andre Fleury had 35 wins and 17 losses this season in net for the Penguins. He had 1,665 shots against him and gave up 132 goals. He made 1,533 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

Patrick Marleau accumulated 48 total points this season for the Sharks. He had 25 goals this season with 216 shots on goal giving him a shooting percentage of 12%. He had a total of 23 assists on the season and averaged 19 minutes played per game. Joe Pavelski averaged 20 minutes of ice time per game. In that time he had a shooting percentage of 17% by scoring 38 goals on 224 shots. He had 40 assists giving him a total of 78 points on the season. Martin Jones had 37 wins and 23 losses this season in net for the Sharks. He had 1,734 shots against him and gave up 143 goals. He made 1,591 saves for a save percentage of 92%.

The Penguins had 104 total points this season. They scored 241 goals while giving up 199 goals. They had 261 power play opportunities and scored 48 goals on those chances for a percentage of 18%. The Penguins allowed 257 power play opportunities and gave up 40 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 84%. They averaged 33 shots per game and as a team they shot 8.85% for the season. They allowed 30 shots to their opposition per contest and had a team save percentage of 92%.

The Sharks had a total of 98 points on the season. They had 62 power play goals on 275 opportunities for a percentage of 23%. They allowed 236 power play opportunities and gave up 46 goals on those chances for a penalty kill percentage of 81%. As a team, the Penguins had a total of 237 goals scored while they gave up 207 goals during the campaign. They averaged 30 shots per contest and had a team shooting percentage of 9.51%. As a team they gave up 27 shots per game and had a save percentage of 91%.

Pittsburgh had a Corsi percentage of 52.3% as they attempted 4,812 shots on net at full strength while they gave up 4,384 shots on net in the same situations. Their Fenwick percentage was at 52.5% as they had 3,638 attempts while they gave up 3,293 shots on the defensive end. The Penguins started possessions in the offensive zone 52.3% of the time while their defensive zone percentage was at 47.7% for the season. They had 2,593 face off wins compared to 2,576 losses, meaning their faceoff win percentage was 50.2%. On defense Pittsburgh had 1,947 hits and they blocked 1,091 shots from the opposition.

San Jose attempted 4,595 shots at full strength and they gave up 4,404 attempts, meaning their Corsi percentage was at 51.1% for the season. In terms of Fenwick percentage, they were at 53% as they had 3,504 shots while they gave up 3,112 attempts on defense. The Sharks had an offensive zone percentage of 51% and their defensive zone percentage was 49% this season. They had a faceoff win percentage of 50.7% as they compiled 2,472 face off wins this season and they suffered 2,404 face off losses. On defense San Jose blocked 1,292 shot attempts and they had 1,686 hits as a unit.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Penguins were 45-33 straight up this season

The Pittsburgh Penguins were 36-32-14 against the over/under

San Jose Sharks Betting Trends

The San Jose Sharks were 43-36 straight up this season

The San Jose Sharks were 42-33-7 against the over/under

Pittsburgh Penguins Injuries

05/22/16 D Trevor Daley Ankle out for season
03/16/16 LW Scott Wilson Ankle out indefinitely
03/04/16 C Kevin Porter Ankle out indefinitely

San Jose Sharks Injuries

06/04/16 C Tomas Hertl Lower Body "?" Monday vs. Pittsburgh
04/27/16 D Matt Tennyson Concussion out indefinitely

Tony's Pick: Take San Jose

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