Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 1/12/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Wild Card

Game: Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Buccaneers (-3.0)

Total-Over-Under: 50.5

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7) are hosting the Washington Commanders (12-5) at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday in an NFC Wild Card game. Tampa Bay is 3.0-point favorites. The over-under is 50.5.

The Washington Commanders come into this matchup with a record of 12-5 for this season. In their last contest, the Commanders went up against the Dallas Cowboys and took home the win by a score of 23-19. Marcus Mariota connected on 15-18 with 161 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 141 and walked away from the contest with no interceptions. Marcus Mariota was the best rusher for the Commanders with 5 totes for 56 yards (11.2 yds per carry). Terry McLaurin left with an average of 7.8 yds per reception by earning 62 yards on 8 catches. The Washington Commanders ran the ball a total of 18 times and totaled 113 yds, which had them averaging 6.3 yards per attempt. For the game, they ran 49 plays for 269 yds. Washington surrendered 20 completions on 34 tries for a total of 228 yards, and a completion rate of 58.8%. On the ground, the Commanders gave up 150 yards on 39 attempts, which averages out to 3.8 yds per rush allowed.

The Commanders currently have 6,284 yards in total for the year. Washington has 192 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 111 infractions for 960 yards. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Washington has compiled 29 touchdowns via the pass and 25 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 16 times (9 picks and 7 fumbles). As a unit they maintain an average of 154.1 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 3rd in the league. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Washington Commanders hold an average of 28.5 points per outing.

The Commanders sit in 18th in the NFL in terms of team defense, conceding 23.0 PPG. They are giving up an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 137.5 rushing yards per contest for the season. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 2,337 rushing yards through 17 outings. When talking about passing yardage, the Commanders have given up 3,221 yards which ranks them 3rd in the NFL. They have conceded 189.5 yards per outing via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 61.9%. In total, they are allowing 326.9 yards per game putting them 13th in the NFL. They have yielded 25 touchdowns through the air and 18 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Buccaneers come into this matchup with a record of 10-7 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Buccaneers walked away with a victory by a final of 27-19 against the New Orleans Saints. Baker Mayfield (2 TDs) finished the game with 221 yards on 21-32 through the air while his quarterback rating was 93.4. He tossed 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.9 yards. Mike Evans was featured in the passing game for the Buccaneers, snagging 9 passes for 89 yards (9.9 yards per catch). Bucky Irving ran the ball 19 times for 89 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.7 yards per carry for Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers finished the game with 395 yards on 63 plays (6.3 yds per play). Tampa Bay ran for 5.8 yards per carry, finishing the game with 179 yards on 31 carries. Tampa Bay relinquished 19 attempts on the ground for 64 yards (3.4 yards per carry). The Buccaneers passing defense gave up a completion rate of 61.9%, surrendering 228 yards on 26 for 42 through the air.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold an average of 399.6 yards-game which has them sitting 3rd in the NFL. They maintain an average of 149.2 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 2,536 yards overall. The Tampa Bay offense has accrued 839 penalty yds on 108 violations, which has them sitting 19th in the league in terms of hurting your team. For the season thus far, the Buccaneers have thrown for 4,257 yards through the air not to mention an average of 250.4 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 3rd in football. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Buccaneers are 4th out of all teams in the league by tallying 29.5 points per game.

The Buccaneers are relinquishing 22.6 PPG, which has them in 16th in the NFL. They have conceded 27 touchdowns from the passing game and 243.9 yards-game, which puts them in 29th in football. Tampa Bay has allowed the opposition a total of 1,663 yards on the ground (97.8 yards per contest) and 13 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Buccaneers defense taken the field for 1,065 plays, which has them sitting 22nd in the NFL. They have compiled 18 turnovers (11 fumbles and 7 picks) over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Commanders-Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commanders +3.0

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