Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 1/18/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Divisional Playoffs

Game: Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Lions (-9.5)

Total-Over-Under: 55

Ford Field is the site where the Detroit Lions (15-2) will play the Washington Commanders (12-5) on Saturday. Washington opens this contest as 9.5-point underdogs. The over-under has been set at 55.

The Washington Commanders come into this matchup with a record of 12-5 this season. When they last took the field, the Commanders played the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and took home the win by a score of 23-20. Jayden Daniels was the best rusher for the Commanders with 13 totes for 36 yards (2.8 yds per attempt). Dyami Brown left with an average of 17.8 yds per reception by notching 89 yards on 5 catches. Jayden Daniels finished 24-35 with 268 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 110.2 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. Against the rush, the Commanders gave up 101 yards on 25 attempts, which is an average of 4.0 yards per run allowed. Washington surrendered 15 completions on 18 attempts for a total of 183 yds, and a completion percentage of 83.3%. In all, they tallied 68 plays which gave them a total of 350 yards. The Washington Commanders ended up running the ball 33 times and had 82 yds, which is an average of 2.5 yards per tote.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Washington Commanders hold an average of 28.5 points per game. Offensively they're holding an average of 154.1 yards via the ground game ranking them 3rd in the league. The Commanders have earned 6,284 total yards for the season. Washington has amassed 192 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 111 infractions for 960 yards. They have surrendered the football 16 different times (9 interceptions and 7 fumbles). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Washington has amassed 29 touchdowns through the air and 25 rushing touchdowns.

In terms of passing yards, the Commanders have surrendered 3,221 yards which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have conceded 189.5 yards per contest via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 61.9%. They have allowed 25 touchdowns through the air as well as 18 touchdowns pounding the rock. In total, they have relinquished 326.9 yards-game ranking them 13th in the National Football League. The opposition is running for 4.8 yards per run and 137.5 rushing yards per game this year. The Commanders are sitting in 18th in the league when it comes to team defense, giving up 23.0 points per game. Overall, they have allowed 2,337 rushing yards through 17 outings.

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The Lions head into this game 15-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Lions took home the win by a final score of 31-9 when they played the Minnesota Vikings. Jahmyr Gibbs carried the ball 23 times for 139 yards, ending the contest with 6.0 yards per carry for Detroit. Amon-Ra St. Brown was a featured target for the Lions, grabbing 6 footballs for 77 yards (12.8 yards per catch). Jared Goff (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 231 yards on 27-33 passing while his QB rating was 80.7. He threw 2 interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 7.0 yards. Detroit relinquished 19 running attempts for 120 yds (6.3 yds per carry). The Lions pass defense allowed a completion rate of 43.9%, relinquishing 142 yards on 18 out of 41 through the air. The Lions finished the game with a total of 394 yds and they ran 64 plays (6.2 yards per play). Detroit ran the ball for 5.7 yds per attempt, totaling 178 yards on 31 attempts.

When looking at their ability to score points, the Lions are sitting 1st in the league maintaining an average of 33.2 points per game. During this campaign so far, the Lions have racked up 4,474 passing yards together with an average of 263.2 passing yards per game, putting them at 2nd in the NFL. They are averaging 146.4 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 2,488 yards for this year. The Detroit Lions hold an average of 409.5 yards per game which is good for 2nd out of all teams in the NFL. The Detroit offense has compiled 988 yards of penalties on 107 violations, which is good for 21st in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition.

The Lions are giving up 20.1 points per game, which has them in 7th in the NFL. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns through the air as well as 244.0 yards-outing, which has them in 30th in the NFL. Detroit has allowed a total of 1,672 yards on the ground (98.4 yards-game) and 18 touchdowns on the ground this season. The Lions defense has taken part in 1,016 plays, which has them sitting 4th in the league. They have 24 turnovers (8 fumbles and 16 interceptions) so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Commanders-Lions NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Lions -9.5

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