Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, 1/11/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025

Location: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD

TV: Prime Video

Odds-Point Spread: Ravens (-9.5)

Total-Over-Under: 45.5

The Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) are hitting the road to M&T Bank Stadium on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Baltimore Ravens (12-5) in an AFC Wild Card matchup. Baltimore opens as 9.5-point favorites. The over-under comes in at 45.5.

The Pittsburgh Steelers come into this matchup with a record of 10-7 this year. In their last contest, the Steelers took the field against the Cincinnati Bengals and took a loss by a final of 19-17. Russell Wilson went 17-31 with 148 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 78.4 and finished the game with no interceptions. Najee Harris was the leader on the ground for the Steelers with 12 carries for 36 yards (3.0 yards per carry). Pat Freiermuth had an average of 10.6 yds per catch by totaling 85 yds on 8 catches. The Pittsburgh Steelers rushed the ball a total of 23 times and accounted for 74 yards, which had them averaging 3.2 yards per carry. In the game, they ran 54 plays which gave them 193 yds. Pittsburgh relinquished 37 completions on 46 tries for 246 yards, and a completion percentage of 80.4%. On the ground, the Steelers conceded 68 yds on 21 tries, which is an average of 3.2 yards per run allowed.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Pittsburgh Steelers have an average of 22.4 PPG. As a unit they are averaging 127.4 yards via the ground game giving them a rank of 11th in the NFL. The Steelers have earned 5,430 total yards for the year. Pittsburgh has accrued 158 first downs as a team, and they have committed 102 penalties for 823 yards. They have surrendered the football 17 different times (6 interceptions and 11 fumbles). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Pittsburgh has earned 21 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns.

When it comes to passing yards, the Steelers have allowed 3,876 yards which has them sitting in 25th in the NFL. They have allowed 228.0 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 65.6%. They have conceded 23 touchdowns through the air in addition to 14 touchdowns on the ground. Over the course of this year, they have surrendered 326.7 yards-game ranking them 12th in the league. They are allowing 4.1 yards per rush and 98.7 rushing yards per contest for the year. The Steelers are sitting in 8th in the league when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 20.4 points per game. During the season, they have allowed 1,678 rushing yards through 17 games.

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The Ravens step onto the field holding a record of 12-5 for this season. When they last took the field, the Ravens walked away with a victory by a final of 35-10 when they faced the Cleveland Browns. Lamar Jackson (2 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 217 yds on 16-32 through the air while his quarterback rating was 92.8. He didn't toss any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 6.8 yds. Derrick Henry ran the ball 20 times for 138 yds, ending the game with 6.9 yds per carry for Baltimore. Rashod Bateman was one of the featured targets for the Ravens, catching 5 passes for 76 yards (15.2 yds per reception). Baltimore ran the ball for 6.3 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 220 yards on 35 attempts. The Ravens finished the contest with a total of 437 yds while they ran 67 plays (6.5 yards per play). The Ravens pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 52.9%, surrendering 174 yds on 18 out of 34 through the air. Baltimore relinquished 19 attempts on the ground for 56 yds (2.9 yds per carry).

The Baltimore Ravens hold an average of 424.9 yards per game which has them sitting 1st in the league. They average 187.6 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 3,189 yards for the year. The Baltimore offense has racked up 1,120 penalty yards on 132 infractions, which has them sitting 2nd in the league in terms of hurting your team. For the season to this point, the Ravens have thrown for a total of 4,035 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 237.4 throwing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 7th in the league. When looking at this team's ability to score points, the Ravens are sitting 3rd out of all teams in football by scoring 30.5 points per contest.

They have conceded 27 touchdowns from the passing game and 244.1 yards-contest, which has them ranked 31st in the NFL. Baltimore has allowed a total of 1,361 rushing yards (80.1 yards per game) in addition to 12 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. They have compiled 17 turnovers (5 fumbles recovered and 12 picks) for the season. The Ravens defense has taken part in 1,062 plays, which ranks 20th in the NFL. The Ravens are surrendering 21.2 points per game, which puts them in 9th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Steelers-Ravens NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Ravens -9.5

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