Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 1/18/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Divisional Playoffs

Game: Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: ESPN

Odds-Point Spread: Chiefs (-8.0)

Total-Over-Under: 41.5

The Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) will compete against the Houston Texans (10-7) at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday. Houston opens this game as 8.0-point dogs. The total is 41.5.

The Houston Texans come into this matchup with a record of 10-7 this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Texans faced the Los Angeles Chargers and notched a win by a score of 32-12. C.J. Stroud went 22-33 with 282 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 90.7 and ended the game with 1 interception. Nico Collins held an average of 17.4 yds per catch by accumulating 122 yds on 7 catches. Joe Mixon led the offense in rushing for the Texans with 25 carries for 106 yds (4.2 yards per attempt). When all was said and done, they had 67 plays which totaled 429 yards. The Houston Texans ended up running the ball 34 times and compiled 168 yds, earning them an average of 4.9 yards per carry. Against the run, the Texans conceded 50 yds on 18 tries, which averages out to 2.8 yards per rush allowed. Houston surrendered 14 pass completions on 32 attempts for 211 yards, and a completion rate of 43.8%.

The Texans have racked up 5,435 total yards over the course of this year. Houston has accumulated 197 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 119 penalties for 981 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Houston has compiled 20 passing touchdowns and 15 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 19 times (12 picks and 7 fumbles lost). As a team they're holding an average of 112.3 yards rushing which has them sitting 15th in the league. Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Houston Texans are averaging 21.9 points per contest.

The Texans are ranked 14th in the league in terms of team defense, conceding 21.9 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 4.3 yards per tote and 114.0 rushing yards per game this year. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,938 rushing yards through 17 outings. When it comes to yards through the air, the Texans have conceded 3,417 yards which puts them in 6th in the league. They are giving up 201.0 yards per outing via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 58.8%. During the season, they are surrendering 315.0 yards-game which ranks them 6th in the NFL. They have relinquished 31 touchdowns via the pass and 11 touchdowns running the ball.

Get all of our Free NFL Picks

The Chiefs head into this matchup 15-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chiefs took a loss by a score of 38-0 when they played the Denver Broncos. Carson Wentz ended the contest with 98 yds on 10-17 passing while his QB rating was 75.1. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.8 yds. Carson Steele ran the football 8 times for 25 yds, ending the game with 3.1 yards per attempt for Kansas City. Nikko Remigio was featured in the passing game for the Chiefs, snagging 2 passes for 48 yds (24.0 yds per catch). Kansas City ran the ball for 2.5 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 27 yds on 11 attempts. The Chiefs ended up finishing with 98 yards while running 28 plays (3.5 yds per play). The Chiefs pass defense gave up a completion rate of 89.7%, relinquishing 321 yds on 26 for 29 passing. Kansas City conceded 43 rush attempts for 158 yards (3.7 yds per rush).

Concerning the points being put on the board, the Chiefs are sitting 15th in the NFL averaging 22.6 points per game. For the season thus far, the Chiefs have racked up 3,780 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 222.4 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 14th in the league. They hold an average of 105.3 run yards per game and have run for 1,790 yards for the season. The Kansas City Chiefs average 327.6 yards per contest which ranks them 16th in the league. The Kansas City offense has racked up 829 yds of penalties on 94 violations, which ranks them 29th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition.

They have conceded 24 touchdowns via the pass and 218.8 yards-game, which puts them in 18th in the NFL. Kansas City has allowed a total of 1,731 rushing yards (101.8 yards per game) and 13 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have totaled 20 turnovers (7 fumbles and 13 picks) over the course of the season. The Chiefs defense has participated in 1,026 plays, which has them sitting 5th in the NFL. The Chiefs are surrendering 19.2 points per contest, which has them ranked 4th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Texans-Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Texans +8.0

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here