Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 1/12/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Wild Card

Game: Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Bills (-8.5)

Total-Over-Under: 47

Highmark Stadium is the location where the Buffalo Bills (13-4) will meet the Denver Broncos (10-7) on Sunday in an AFC Wild Card contest. Buffalo is 8.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 47.

The Denver Broncos come into this game with a record of 10-7 this season. In their last contest, the Broncos went up against the Kansas City Chiefs and earned the victory with a final of 38-0. Bo Nix was the rushing leader for the Broncos with 7 carries for 47 yds (6.7 yards per attempt). Courtland Sutton averaged 19.6 yards per catch by accumulating 98 yds on 5 catches. Bo Nix went 26-29 with 321 yds passing and 4 TDs. He had a QB rating of 152.4 and finished the game without throwing a pick. Against the run, the Broncos gave up 27 yds on 11 tries, which calculates to 2.5 yds per rush allowed. Denver relinquished 10 completions on 17 attempts for 71 yds, and a completion percentage of 58.8%. On the day, they had 72 plays which gave them 479 yards. The Denver Broncos ended up running the ball 43 different times and totaled 158 yds, which came out to an average of 3.7 yds per carry.

In terms of scoring points, the Denver Broncos are averaging 25.0 PPG. As a team they maintain an average of 112.2 yards via the ground game which is 16th in the National Football League. The Broncos have earned 5,518 yards in total for the year. Denver has a total of 172 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 108 infractions for 941 yards. They have turned the football over 19 times (12 picks and 7 fumbles). In terms of notching touchdowns, Denver has totaled 30 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns on the ground.

The Broncos are ranked 3rd in the league concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 18.3 points per contest. They are giving up 3.9 yards per rush and 96.4 rushing yards per game this season. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,639 yards via the ground game in 17 games. Concerning passing yards, the Broncos have conceded 3,752 yards which ranks them 19th in the league. They have surrendered 220.7 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 64.9%. For the season, they have relinquished 317.1 yards per game ranking them 7th in the league. They have granted 22 touchdowns by air as well as 10 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Bills come into this game with a record of 13-4 for this year. When they last took the field, the Bills took a defeat with a final score of 23-16 against the New England Patriots. Mitchell Trubisky (1 touchdown) walked away from the game with 101 yds on 15-21 passing while his QB rate was 97.5. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.8 yards. Ray Davis carried the football 15 times for 64 yds, finishing the game with 4.3 yds per attempt for Buffalo. Curtis Samuel was the top contributor in the passing game for the Bills, snagging 7 balls for 52 yds (7.4 yds per catch). Buffalo rushed for 3.9 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 130 yards on 33 carries. The Bills finished with 259 yards while running 65 plays (4.0 yards per play). The Bills secondary gave up a completion percentage of 73.3%, relinquishing 232 yards on 22 for 30 through the air. Buffalo conceded 30 running attempts for 77 yards (2.6 yards per carry).

The Buffalo Bills hold an average of 359.1 yards-game which has them sitting 10th in the league. They maintain an average of 131.2 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 2,230 yards overall. The Buffalo offense has compiled 833 yards of penalties on 112 infractions, which ranks 10th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. During this campaign thus far, the Bills have thrown for 3,875 yards via the pass along with an average of 227.9 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 9th in the NFL. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Bills currently rank 2nd in football averaging 30.9 points per contest.

The Bills are conceding 21.6 PPG, which has them sitting 11th in football. They have conceded 28 touchdowns through the air and 226.1 yards per game, which puts them in 24th in the league. Buffalo has allowed a total of 1,963 rushing yards (115.5 yards per contest) as well as 13 touchdowns by ground this year. The Bills defense taken the field for 1,052 plays, which is 17th in the league. Their defense has tallied 32 turnovers (16 fumbles recovered and 16 picks) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Broncos-Bills NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos +8.5

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