Washington Commanders vs New York Jets Prediction, 8/11/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason Week 1

Game: Washington Commanders at New York Jets 

Date: Sunday, August 11, 2024

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: NFL+

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 33

The Washington Commanders (4-13 last season) are on their way to MetLife Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Jets (7-10 last year). Washington opens this matchup as 3-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 33.

The Washington Commanders ended the season with a 4-13 record. In their last contest, the Commanders faced the Cowboys and took a loss by a score of 38-10. Brian Robinson Jr. was the rushing leader for the Commanders with 9 totes for 25 yds (2.8 yards per carry). Terry McLaurin averaged 9.3 yards per catch by accounting for 56 yds on 6 receptions. Sam Howell went 19/27 with 153 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 65.8 and walked away from the game with 2 picks. Against the run, the Commanders gave up 131 yards on 29 attempts, which averages out to 4.5 yds per run surrendered. Washington surrendered 34 pass completions on 40 tries for 309 yards, and a completion rate of 85.0%. On the day, they tallied 49 plays which gave them a total of 180 yards. The Washington Commanders ended up running the ball 17 times and compiled 50 yds, which had them averaging 2.9 yards per tote.

The Commanders had 5,317 yards in total for last season. Washington earned 190 1st downs offensively, and they were hurt by 87 penalties for 701 yards. Washington earned 24 touchdowns through the air and 14 touchdowns on the ground. They gave the ball to the opposition 32 times (21 interceptions and 11 fumbles lost). Offensively they averaged 93.6 yds via the ground game, ranking them 27th in the NFL. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Washington Commanders had an average of 19.4 points per contest.

The Commanders ranked 32nd in the league in terms of team defense, giving up 30.5 PPG. They gave up 4.5 yards per rush and 126.8 yards on the ground per contest for the previous season. In total, they conceded 2,155 rushing yards through 17 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Commanders conceded 4,457 yards which had them ranked 32nd in football. In their 17 games played, they relinquished 262.2 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 66.2%. They relinquished 388.9 yards per game putting them 32nd in the NFL.

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The Jets wrapped up their year having earned a 7-10 record. In their last contest, the Jets got the victory with a final of 17-3 when they played the Patriots. Trevor Siemian ended the game with 70 yards on 8/20 through the air while his quarterback rating was 50. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 3.5 yards. Garrett Wilson was featured in the passing game for the Jets, bringing in 2 throws for 34 yds (17.0 yds per reception). Breece Hall ran the ball 37 times for 178 yards, finishing the contest with 4.8 yards per carry for New York. The Jets finished with 254 yds while they ran 63 plays (4.0 yds per play). New York ran for 4.4 yards per carry, finishing with 185 yards on 42 carries. New York gave up 21 rush attempts for 88 yds (4.2 yards per carry). The Jets pass defense conceded a completion rate of 40.0%, surrendering 31 yds on 12 out of 30 through the air.

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Jets ranked 29th out of all teams in the league averaging 15.8 points per outing. Last year, the Jets threw for a total of 2,919 yards through the air in addition to an average of 171.7 passing yards per contest, which had them sitting 30th in the league. They had an average of 96.9 yards via the ground game and toted the ball for 1,647 yards for the season. The New York Jets had an average of 268.6 yards/game which had them sitting 31st out of all teams in the NFL. The New York offense had 945 yds of penalties on 124 infractions, which was good for 1st in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They gave away 15 picks while letting opponents recover 18 fumbles and they obtained 156 first downs.

The Jets allowed 20.9 PPG, which had them ranked 12th in the NFL. They conceded 19 touchdowns through the air in addition to 168.3 yards per outing, which had them sitting 2nd in the league. New York allowed the opposition a total of 2,108 yards via the ground game (124.0 yards per contest) in addition to 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game over the course of last year. The Jets defense took the field for 1,087 plays, which had them ranked 20th in the league. They totaled 27 turnovers (10 fumbles recovered and 17 interceptions) in the previous season. Last year, they allowed 355 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Commanders/Jets NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jets +3

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