Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 8/17/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason Week 2

Game: Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins

Date: Saturday, August 17, 2024

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: NFL+

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 37

The Washington Commanders (4-13 last season) are en route to Hard Rock Stadium on Saturday where they will compete against the Miami Dolphins (11-6 last year). Washington is 1-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 37.

The Washington Commanders wrapped up their year with a 4-13 record. In their last contest, the Commanders took on the Dolphins and went home with a loss by a final score of 45-15. Sam Howell went 12/23 with 127 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 50.5 and ended the contest with 1 interception. Brian Robinson Jr. was the leader on the ground for the Commanders with 7 totes for 53 yards (7.6 yds per carry). Curtis Samuel held an average of 16.3 yds per reception by accumulating 65 yds on 4 catches. The Washington Commanders rushed the ball a total of 28 different times and totaled 138 yards, which came out to an average of 4.9 yds per carry. At the end of the game, they had 54 plays for 245 yds. Washington allowed 19 completions on 25 attempts for a total of 283 yds, and a completion rate of 76.0%. Against the rush, the Commanders conceded 123 yds on 34 tries, which is an average of 3.6 yards per run allowed.

The Commanders racked up 5,317 total yards for the previous season. Washington recorded 190 1st downs, and they committed 87 infractions for 701 yds. Washington compiled 24 touchdowns through the air and 14 rushing touchdowns. They turned the football over 32 different times (21 interceptions and 11 fumbles lost). As a unit they averaged 93.6 yds via the ground game, which was 27th in the NFL. When talking about scoring, the Washington Commanders held an average of 19.4 points per game.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Commanders gave up 4,457 yards which had them sitting in 32nd in the NFL. In their 17 games played last year, they allowed 262.2 yards per outing through the air as well as relinquishing a completion percentage of 66.2%. They yielded 388.9 yards/game which had them ranked 32nd in the league. Opposing teams ran for an average of 4.5 yards per run and 126.8 rushing yards per game for the previous year. Over the course of last season, they gave up 2,155 rushing yards through 17 contests. The Commanders sat in 32nd in the NFL when it comes to team defense, giving up 30.5 points per game.

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The Dolphins wrapped up their season having a 11-6 record. When they last stepped on the football field, the Dolphins walked away with a victory by a final of 45-15 against the Commanders. Tua Tagovailoa (2 TDs) finished the game with 280 yds on 18/24 passing while his QB rate was 141. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 11.7 yds. De'Von Achane carried the rock 17 times for 73 yds, ending the game with 4.3 yards per carry for Miami. Tyreek Hill had the best day in terms of receiving for the Dolphins, catching 5 balls for 157 yds (31.4 yards per reception). Miami rushed the ball for 3.6 yards per tote, finishing with 123 yards on 34 carries. The Dolphins finished the game with 406 yards and they ran 59 plays (6.9 yds per play). The Dolphins passing defense gave up a completion rate of 52.2%, surrendering 107 yards on 12 out of 23 through the air. Miami conceded 28 attempts on the ground for 138 yards (4.9 yards per rush).

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Dolphins were ranked 2nd in the NFL scoring 29.2 points per contest. Last season, the Dolphins had a total of 4,514 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 265.5 passing yards per outing, which had them sitting 1st in football. They averaged 135.8 run yards per game and rushed for 2,308 yards for last season. The Miami Dolphins averaged 401.3 yards per outing ranking them 1st in the league. The Miami offense totaled 767 yards of penalties on 97 violations, which ranked 16th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They threw 15 interceptions while letting opponents recover 10 fumbles and they tallied 223 first downs.

The Dolphins relinquished 23.0 points per game, which had them ranked 22nd in the NFL. They conceded 27 touchdowns through the air and 221.2 yards per outing, which had them in 15th out of all teams. Miami conceded a total of 1,650 yards on the ground (97.1 yards per outing) in addition to 15 touchdowns by way of the ground game last season. The Dolphins defense was on the field for 1,057 plays, which was good for 11th in the league. Their defense compiled 27 takeaways (12 fumbles and 15 picks) last year. Over the course of the season, they relinquished 391 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Commanders/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Dolphins -1

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