Washington Commanders vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, 9/23/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Washington Commanders at Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Monday, September 23, 2024

Location: Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Bengals (-7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Washington Commanders (1-1) are on their way to Paycor Stadium on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Cincinnati Bengals (0-2). Cincinnati opens this game as 7.5-point favorites. The over/under is 48.5.

The Washington Commanders head into this matchup 1-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Commanders played the New York Giants and went home with a win by a final score of 21-18. Brian Robinson Jr. was the best rusher for the Commanders with 17 carries for 133 yards (7.8 yds per carry). Zach Ertz held an average of 15.5 yards per catch by accumulating 62 yds on 4 receptions. Jayden Daniels connected on 23/29 with 226 yards passing. He had a QB rate of 99.1 and ended the game with no interceptions. Against the run, the Commanders conceded 129 yds on 22 tries, which averages out to 5.9 yards per rush surrendered. Washington gave up 16 completions on 28 tries for a total of 175 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. When all was said and done, they ran 64 plays which gave them 425 yds. The Washington Commanders ran the football 35 different times and accumulated 215 yards, which is an average of 6.1 yards per carry.

The Commanders have earned 724 total yards for the year. Washington has accounted for 18 first downs as a team, and they have committed 17 penalties for 120 yards. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Washington has compiled 0 touchdowns through the air and 3 touchdowns on the ground. They have yet to turn the ball over. As a team they average 176.5 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 6th in the National Football League. When it comes to scoring, the Washington Commanders have an average of 20.5 points per game.

The Commanders are ranked 29th in the NFL concerning team defense, conceding 27.5 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.6 yards per tote and 120.5 rushing yards per game for the season. Over the course of this year, they have given up 241 yards on the ground through 2 games. Regarding passing yards, the Commanders have conceded 455 yards which ranks them 23rd in the NFL. They have given up 227.5 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 69.0%. During the season, they are surrendering 348.0 yards/outing which ranks them 21st in the NFL. They have given up 6 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown on the ground.

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The Bengals step onto the field holding a record of 0-2 for this season. When they last took the field, the Bengals walked away with a loss by a score of 26-25 against the Kansas City Chiefs. Joe Burrow (2 TDs) ended the game with 258 yards on 23/36 through the air while his quarterback rate was 103.7. He didn't throw any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 7.2 yards. Zack Moss carried the ball 12 times for 34 yds, finishing the game with 2.8 yds per attempt for Cincinnati. Mike Gesicki was a featured target for the Bengals, hauling in 7 passes for 91 yards (13.0 yds per catch). Cincinnati rushed for 3.4 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 74 yds on 22 attempts. The Bengals finished with a total of 320 yds and they ran 58 plays (5.5 yards per play). The Bengals pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 72.0%, surrendering 137 yards on 18 out of 25 through the air. Cincinnati relinquished 32 rush attempts for 149 yds (4.7 yds per rush).

The Cincinnati Bengals are averaging 272.0 yards per contest which ranks them 24th in football. They average 72.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 144 yards in total. The Cincinnati offense has 89 yards of penalties on 10 violations, which ranks 26th in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. Over the course of the season to this point, the Bengals have thrown for a total of 400 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 200.0 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 16th in the league. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Bengals rank 22nd in the league averaging 17.5 PPG.

The Bengals are relinquishing 21.0 PPG, which puts them in 16th in football. They have conceded 2 touchdowns through the air as well as 128.5 yards/outing, which puts them in 3rd in football. Cincinnati has conceded a total of 319 yards on the ground (159.5 yards per contest) as well as 1 touchdown by ground for the season. The Bengals defense taken the field for 123 plays, which ranks 19th in the league. They have compiled 3 turnovers (1 fumble recovery and 2 picks) so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Commanders/Bengals NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bengals -7.5

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