Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 9/30/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins

Date: Monday, September 30, 2024

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-1.0)

Total/Over-Under: 36.5

The Miami Dolphins (1-2) will compete against the Tennessee Titans (0-3) at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday. Miami opens this contest as 1.0-point favorites. The total has been set at 36.5.

The Tennessee Titans head into this game 0-3 for this season. When they last took the field, the Titans faced the Green Bay Packers and ended up losing by a score of 30-14. Tony Pollard led the offense in rushing for the Titans with 6 carries for 14 yards (2.3 yds per carry). DeAndre Hopkins left with an average of 12.2 yards per reception by totaling 73 yds on 6 catches. Will Levis connected on 26/34 with 260 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 92.8 and ended the contest with 2 interceptions. On the ground, the Titans gave up 188 yards on 37 attempts, which is an average of 5.1 yards per run surrendered. Tennessee allowed 13 completions on 19 attempts for 190 yds, and a completion rate of 68.4%. In the game, they had 45 plays which gave them a total of 237 yds. The Tennessee Titans ended up running the ball 11 different times and amassed 33 yds, which is an average of 3.0 yards per tote.

The Titans have attained 781 yards in total this year. Tennessee has a total of 27 first downs, and they have been called for 15 infractions for 110 yds. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Tennessee has compiled 4 touchdowns through the air and 2 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 8 different times (5 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). As a unit they average 101.0 yards in the run game which is 20th in the league. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Tennessee Titans hold an average of 16.0 points per outing.

Regarding yards through the air, the Titans have surrendered 418 yards which ranks them 3rd in the NFL. They have allowed 139.3 yards per contest via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 57.7%. They have given up 3 touchdowns by air as well as 2 touchdowns pounding the rock. During this campaign, they are conceding 263.7 yards per outing putting them 5th in football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 124.3 rushing yards per contest this season. The Titans rank 24th in the National Football League when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 26.0 points per game. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 373 rushing yards through 3 contests.

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The Dolphins head into this game 1-2 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Dolphins took a defeat with a final score of 24-3 when they faced the Seattle Seahawks. Skylar Thompson walked away from the game with 107 yds on 13/19 passing while his QB rating was 82.6. He didn't toss any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 5.6 yds. De'Von Achane ran the ball 11 times for 30 yards, finishing the contest with 2.7 yards per carry for Miami. Tyreek Hill was a featured target for the Dolphins, catching 3 passes for 40 yards (13.3 yards per reception). Miami ran for 3.6 yards per carry, finishing the game with 65 yds on 18 attempts. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 205 yards while running 50 plays (4.1 yds per play). The Dolphins pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 76.5%, relinquishing 270 yards on 26 for 34 passing. Miami relinquished 23 running attempts for 100 yards (4.3 yards per rush).

The Miami Dolphins have an average of 318.7 yards per outing which has them sitting 16th in the league. They hold an average of 95.0 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 285 yards for the year. The Miami offense has racked up 238 penalty yards on 27 violations, which is 4th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. During the season so far, the Dolphins have compiled 671 passing yards as well as holding an average of 223.7 throwing yards per contest, putting them at 11th in the league. In relation to their ability to score points, the Dolphins are 32nd out of all teams in football holding an average of 11.0 points per game.

They have surrendered 3 touchdowns through the air in addition to 182.7 yards per outing, which has them in 12th out of all teams. Miami has surrendered a total of 336 rushing yards (112.0 yards/game) and 5 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. Their defense has earned 3 turnovers (1 fumble and 2 interceptions) so far this season. The Dolphins defense has taken part in 155 plays, which is good for 2nd in football. The Dolphins are conceding 24.0 PPG, which has them sitting 22nd of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Titans/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Titans +1.0

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