Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 10/13/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 42.5

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) are traveling to Caesars Superdome on Sunday where they will play the New Orleans Saints (2-3). Tampa Bay opens this contest as 2.5-point favorites. The total is 42.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into this matchup 3-2 this year. In their last contest, the Buccaneers stepped onto the field against the Atlanta Falcons and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 36-30. Baker Mayfield finished 19/24 with 180 yards through the air and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 137.5 and ended the game with no picks. Chris Godwin averaged 12.8 yards per catch by accounting for 64 yards on 5 receptions. Rachaad White was the leader on the ground for the Buccaneers with 10 attempts for 72 yds (7.2 yards per carry). Overall, they had 50 plays which gave them 333 yards. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ran the football 26 different times and accounted for 160 yards, which is an average of 6.2 yds per carry. Against the run, the Buccaneers gave up 73 yards on 18 attempts, which averages out to 4.1 yards per rush surrendered. Tampa Bay surrendered 42 completions on 59 attempts for 477 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.2%.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sitting at 25.4 PPG. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 108.8 yards rushing giving them a rank of 20th in the NFL. The Buccaneers have tallied 1,609 total yards for the season. Tampa Bay has amassed 65 1st downs, and they have been called for 24 penalties for 167 yds. They have surrendered the ball 4 times (2 interceptions and 2 fumbles). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Tampa Bay has earned 11 touchdowns via the pass and 3 touchdowns via the ground.

The Buccaneers rank 18th in the league in terms of their opponents scoring, giving up 22.8 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.9 yards per rush and 119.8 yards on the ground per contest this year. In total, they have given up 599 running yards through 5 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the Buccaneers have allowed 1,292 yards which has them sitting in 28th in football. They are allowing 258.4 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 66.8%. In total, they have surrendered 378.2 yards/contest which ranks them 30th in the league. They have yielded 5 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Saints head into this game 2-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Saints took a loss by a final score of 26-13 against the Kansas City Chiefs. Derek Carr (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 165 yards on 18/28 through the air while his QB rate was 89.1. He tossed 1 interception and his Y/A was 5.9 yards. Rashid Shaheed was one of the featured targets for the Saints, hauling in 4 balls for 86 yards (21.5 yds per reception). Alvin Kamara carried the football 11 times for 26 yds, walking away from the contest with 2.4 yds per carry for New Orleans. The Saints finished the contest with a total of 220 yds on 50 plays (4.4 yds per play). New Orleans ran for 3.1 yards per carry, finishing with 46 yards on 15 attempts. New Orleans relinquished 39 run attempts for 139 yds (3.6 yds per rush). The Saints pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 71.8%, surrendering 321 yards on 28 out of 39 passing.

The New Orleans Saints have an average of 323.2 yards per outing which has them ranked 17th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 127.2 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 636 yards for the season. The New Orleans offense has 290 yds of penalties on 29 infractions, which ranks them 18th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. Over the course of the season thus far, the Saints have thrown for 980 passing yards in addition to an average of 196.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 21st in football. In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Saints are ranked 5th in the league with an average of 28.0 PPG.

The Saints are conceding 19.2 points per contest, which has them in 8th in football. They have yielded 1 touchdown through the air and 251.2 yards per outing, ranking them 26th in the NFL. New Orleans has allowed a total of 525 yards rushing (105.0 yards/game) in addition to 5 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. The Saints defense taken the field for 319 plays, which ranks them 23rd in football. Their defense has compiled 9 takeaways (2 fumbles and 7 picks) on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Saints +2.5

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