Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 11/4/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Monday, November 4, 2024

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4) are on their way to Arrowhead Stadium on Monday where they will play the Kansas City Chiefs (7-0). Kansas City opens as 8.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 45.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers step onto the field holding a record of 4-4 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Buccaneers took on the Atlanta Falcons and went home with a loss by a final score of 31-26. Bucky Irving was the leader on the ground for the Buccaneers with 9 attempts for 44 yards (4.9 yards per carry). Cade Otton left with an average of 9.0 yards per catch by totaling 81 yds on 9 catches. Baker Mayfield finished 37/50 with 330 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 94.6 and finished the contest with 2 picks. Against the rush, the Buccaneers conceded 129 yards on 29 attempts, which is 4.4 yards per run allowed. Tampa Bay relinquished 23 completions on 29 attempts for 265 yds, and a completion rate of 79.3%. For the game, they ran 72 plays for 432 yards. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ran the football 22 times and recorded 102 yds, which had them averaging 4.6 yards per carry.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are averaging 29.4 points per outing. Offensively they average 131.0 yards via the ground game which ranks them 10th in the National Football League. The Buccaneers have racked up 3,116 total yards for the season. Tampa Bay has a total of 115 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 50 infractions for 373 yards. They have surrendered the football 12 different times (9 interceptions and 3 fumbles). In terms of notching touchdowns, Tampa Bay has totaled 21 touchdowns via the pass and 6 rushing touchdowns.

The Buccaneers are ranked 28th in the league in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 26.6 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.2 yards per tote and 131.6 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. During this campaign, they have given up 1,053 yards via the ground game in 8 outings. When it comes to passing yards, the Buccaneers have surrendered 2,043 yards which puts them in 30th in the National Football League. They are conceding 255.4 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 67.2%. For the season, they have yielded 387.0 yards/game which puts them 30th in the NFL. They have surrendered 15 touchdowns via the pass as well as 8 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Chiefs head into this game 7-0 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chiefs got the win with a final of 27-20 when they faced the Las Vegas Raiders. Patrick Mahomes (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 262 yards on 27/38 passing while his QB rating was 96.6. He had 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.9 yds. Kareem Hunt carried the ball 21 times for 59 yds, ending the game with 2.8 yards per attempt for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was one of the featured targets for the Chiefs, hauling in 10 throws for 90 yards (9.0 yds per reception). Kansas City ran for 2.8 yds per carry, totaling 82 yds on 29 attempts. The Chiefs finished the contest with a total of 334 yards while they ran 67 plays (5.0 yds per play). The Chiefs pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 80.0%, relinquishing 195 yards on 24 for 30 through the air. Kansas City allowed 21 rushing attempts for 33 yards (1.6 yds per rush).

The Kansas City Chiefs hold an average of 348.0 yards/outing which has them ranked 11th out of all teams in the league. They are averaging 122.1 yards per game via the rush and have run for 855 yards for the season. The Kansas City offense has totaled 348 penalty yards on 39 infractions, which has them sitting 29th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. Over the course of the season to this point, the Chiefs have a total of 1,581 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 225.9 throwing yards per game, which ranks 12th in the NFL. When discussing this team's ability to score points, the Chiefs are sitting 9th in the league holding an average of 24.7 points per contest.

They have allowed the opposition 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 212.7 yards per outing, which puts them in 17th in the league. Kansas City has surrendered a total of 576 rushing yards (82.3 yards per contest) and 4 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. They have totaled 8 takeaways (3 fumbles and 5 interceptions) for the season. The Chiefs defense taken the field for 407 plays, ranking them 4th in football. The Chiefs are surrendering 17.6 points per game, which has them in 5th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Buccaneers +8.5

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