Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 1/21/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Divisional Round

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions

Date: Sunday, January 21, 2024

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Lions (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Detroit Lions (13-5) will play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-8) at Ford Field on Sunday in an NFC Divisional Playoff tilt. Detroit opens this matchup as 6.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 48.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers come into this matchup with a record of 10-8 for this season. In their Wild Card game, the Buccaneers played against the Eagles and went home with a win by a final score of 32-9. Baker Mayfield went 22/36 with 337 yds through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 119.8 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Cade Otton averaged 11.1 yds per catch by accumulating 89 yds on 8 catches. Rachaad White led the offense in rushing for the Buccaneers with 18 totes for 72 yards (4.0 yards per attempt). For the game, they had 69 plays for 426 yards. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ended up rushing 29 different times and compiled 119 yards, which is an average of 4.1 yards per carry. Against the run, the Buccaneers gave up 42 yds on 15 attempts, which is 2.8 yds per run allowed. Tampa Bay allowed 25 pass completions on 35 attempts for 234 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.4%.

The Buccaneers have racked up 5,321 total yards for this campaign. Tampa Bay has a total of 188 1st downs, and they have been called for 100 penalties for 751 yds. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Tampa Bay has compiled 28 passing touchdowns and 8 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 18 times (10 picks and 8 fumbles). As a team they're holding an average of 88.8 yards in the run game which has them sitting 32nd in the NFL. Regarding putting points on the board, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have an average of 20.5 points per contest.

The Buccaneers are ranked 7th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, allowing 19.1 points per contest. The opposition is running for an average of 3.8 yards per run and 95.3 yards on the ground per contest for the season. For the year, they have allowed 1,620 yards via the ground game in 17 outings. Regarding yards through the air, the Buccaneers have given up 4,232 yards which puts them in 29th in football. They have allowed 248.9 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 66.1%. Over the course of this season, they are granting 344.2 yards/outing which ranks them 23rd in the league.

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The Lions come into this game with a record of 13-5 for this season. In their Wild Card matchup, the Lions got their first playoff victory in 32 years with a final of 24-23 when they faced the Rams. David Montgomery carried the ball 14 times for 57 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.1 yards per attempt for Detroit. Amon-Ra St. Brown had the best day in terms of receiving for the Lions, bringing in 7 balls for 110 yds (15.7 yds per catch). Jared Goff (1 touchdown) walked away from the game with 277 yards on 22/27 passing while his quarterback rate was 121.8. He didn't throw any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 10.3 yds. Detroit gave up 17 rush attempts for 68 yds (4.0 yards per carry). The Lions pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 69.4%, relinquishing 357 yards on 25 for 36 through the air. The Lions finished the contest with a total of 334 yards and they ran 55 plays (6.1 yds per play). Detroit rushed the ball for 3.2 yards per tote, finishing the game with 79 yds on 25 attempts.

The Detroit Lions hold an average of 394.8 yards per outing which has them sitting 3rd out of all teams in the NFL. They are averaging 135.9 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 2,311 yards for this year. They have thrown 12 picks while conceding 11 fumbles and they have recorded 228 first downs. The Detroit offense has totaled 843 penalty yards on 97 infractions, which has them ranked 17th in football in terms of making mistakes. Over the course of the season so far, the Lions have thrown for a total of 4,401 yards via the pass together with an average of 258.9 passing yards per outing, putting them at 2nd in the league. When looking at their ability to score points, the Lions sit 5th in football holding an average of 27.1 points per game.

They have allowed 28 touchdowns through the air and 247.4 yards per game, which puts them in 27th in football. Detroit has surrendered a total of 1,509 yards rushing (88.8 yards per contest) and 15 touchdowns rushing for the year. Overall, they have conceded 395 points in total. Their defense has tallied 23 takeaways (7 fumbles and 16 interceptions) so far this year. The Lions defense has taken part in 1,037 plays, which has them ranked 6th in the league. The Lions are surrendering 23.2 points per game, which has them ranked 23rd in football.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Lions NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Buccaneers +6.5

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