San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 2/11/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Super Bowl LVIII

Game: San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, February 11, 2024

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

Allegiant Stadium is the location where the Kansas City Chiefs (14-6) will attempt to defeat the San Francisco 49ers (14-5) in Super Bowl LVIII. Kansas City is 1-point dogs. The total is set at 47.5.

The San Francisco 49ers head into this matchup 14-5 for this season. In the NFC Championship, the 49ers played the Lions and went home with a win by a final score of 34-31. Christian McCaffrey was the rushing leader for the 49ers with 20 carries for 90 yds (4.5 yds per carry). Deebo Samuel had an average of 11.1 yds per reception by earning 89 yards on 8 receptions. Brock Purdy connected on 20/31 with 267 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 89 and finished the game with 1 pick. Against the run, the 49ers gave up 182 yards on 29 tries, which is 6.3 yards per run allowed. San Francisco allowed 25 completions on 41 attempts for 260 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.0%. When all was said and done, they ran 66 plays which converted into 413 yds. The San Francisco 49ers ended up rushing 33 times and had 155 yds, earning them an average of 4.7 yards per tote.

The 49ers have attained 6,773 total yards for the year. San Francisco has compiled 207 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 101 infractions for 933 yds. In terms of scoring touchdowns, San Francisco has earned 33 passing touchdowns and 27 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 18 different times (12 picks and 6 fumbles). As a unit they average 140.5 yards rushing ranking them 3rd in the NFL. Concerning scoring, the San Francisco 49ers are averaging 28.9 points per game.

The 49ers sit in 3rd in the NFL when it comes to team defense, giving up 17.5 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.1 yards per running attempt and 89.7 rushing yards per contest for the year. During this campaign, they have given up 1,525 rushing yards through 17 contests. Concerning yards through the air, the 49ers have conceded 3,642 yards which has them sitting in 14th in football. They are conceding 214.2 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 66.0%. During the season, they are granting 303.9 yards per outing ranking them 8th in the National Football League.

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The Chiefs come into this matchup with a record of 14-6 for this season. In the AFC title game, the Chiefs took home the win by a final score of 17-10 when they played the Ravens. Patrick Mahomes (1 TD) ended the contest with 241 yards on 30/39 through the air while his QB rate was 100.5. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.2 yds. Isiah Pacheco carried the rock 24 times for 68 yards, ending the contest with 2.8 yds per carry for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was the top contributor in the passing game for the Chiefs, hauling in 11 balls for 116 yards (10.5 yards per reception). Kansas City ran for 2.8 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 89 yds on 32 carries. The Chiefs finished the game with 319 yards on 73 plays (4.4 yards per play). The Chiefs pass defense gave up a completion rate of 54.1%, surrendering 255 yds on 20 out of 37 passing. Kansas City conceded 16 running attempts for 81 yds (5.1 yds per carry).

Regarding their ability to score points, the Chiefs are sitting 15th out of all teams in football by tallying 21.8 PPG. For the season so far, the Chiefs have compiled 4,188 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 246.4 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 6th in the NFL. They average 104.9 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,784 yards in total. The Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 351.3 yards/game which has them sitting 9th in the league. The Kansas City offense has accrued 845 penalty yards on 96 violations, which ranks them 19th in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 17 interceptions while surrendering 11 fumbles and they have been able to earn 216 1st downs.

They have allowed the opposition 19 touchdowns through the air and 176.5 yards per game, which puts them in 4th out of all teams. Kansas City has yielded a total of 1,925 yards rushing (113.2 yards per contest) as well as 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the year. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 294 total points. They have tallied 17 turnovers (9 fumbles and 8 interceptions) so far this season. The Chiefs defense taken the field for 1,045 plays, which has them sitting 8th in football. The Chiefs are allowing 17.3 points per game, ranking them 2nd of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's 49ers/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the 49ers -1

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