Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 9/29/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Colts (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40

The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0) are headed to Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Indianapolis Colts (1-2). Pittsburgh opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 40.

The Pittsburgh Steelers come into this game with a record of 3-0 for this season. In their last game, the Steelers faced the Los Angeles Chargers and took home the win by a score of 20-10. Justin Fields connected on 25/32 with 245 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 96 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Najee Harris was the rushing leader for the Steelers with 18 attempts for 70 yds (3.9 yds per attempt). Calvin Austin left with an average of 23.8 yds per catch by notching 95 yards on 4 receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ran the ball a total of 31 times and compiled 114 yds, which is an average of 3.7 yds per attempt. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 63 plays which gave them a total of 346 yds. Pittsburgh gave up 14 pass completions on 20 attempts for a total of 107 yds, and a completion percentage of 70.0%. Against the run, the Steelers conceded 61 yards on 20 tries, which averages out to 3.1 yards per rush surrendered.

When talking about scoring points, the Pittsburgh Steelers are averaging 17.0 points per contest. As a team they're holding an average of 130.7 yards on the ground which ranks them 12th in the NFL. The Steelers have earned 867 total yards for the season. Pittsburgh has earned 22 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 22 penalties for 153 yds. They have turned the football over 1 time. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Pittsburgh has earned 2 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground.

The Steelers rank 1st in the National Football League when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 8.7 PPG. They are giving up an average of 3.5 yards per running attempt and 71.3 rushing yards per game this year. Overall, they have allowed 214 rushing yards through 3 games. When it comes to yards via the pass, the Steelers have surrendered 475 yards which has them ranked 5th in the league. They are allowing 158.3 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 61.7%. During the season, they are surrendering 229.7 yards per outing which ranks them 1st in the NFL. They have surrendered 2 touchdowns via the pass

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The Colts come into this game with a record of 1-2 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Colts took home the win by a final score of 21-16 when they faced the Chicago Bears. Jonathan Taylor carried the football 23 times for 110 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.8 yds per carry for Indianapolis. Alec Pierce was featured in the passing game for the Colts, snagging 1 footballs for 44 yds (44.0 yds per catch). Anthony Richardson ended the contest with 167 yards on 10/20 passing while his QB rating was 39. He tossed 2 picks and his avg yards per attempt was 8.4 yards. Indianapolis relinquished 28 rushing attempts for 63 yds (2.3 yards per rush). The Colts pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 63.5%, surrendering 332 yds on 33 for 52 passing. The Colts finished with 306 yds and they ran 53 plays (5.8 yds per play). Indianapolis rushed for 4.5 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 150 yds on 33 attempts.

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Colts are sitting 17th in football averaging 19.3 points per contest. For the season so far, the Colts currently have a total of 553 yards via the pass together with holding an average of 184.3 passing yards per game, which is ranked 24th in the NFL. They average 131.3 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 394 yards for the season. The Indianapolis Colts maintain an average of 315.7 yards/game which has them ranked 17th in the league. The Indianapolis offense has compiled 118 yards of penalties on 16 infractions, which ranks 24th in the league in terms of making mistakes.

The Colts are relinquishing 20.3 PPG, which has them in 14th in the NFL. They have given up 5 touchdowns via the pass and 219.3 yards/game, which has them sitting 21st in the NFL. Indianapolis has given up a total of 537 rushing yards (179.0 yards per game) and 1 touchdown by ground for the year. The Colts defense has participated in 227 plays, which ranks 32nd in the league. They have tallied 4 turnovers (2 fumbles recovered and 2 picks) for the season.

Who will win tonight's Steelers/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Steelers -2.5

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