Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 1/14/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Wildcard

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, January 14, 2024

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-10)

Total/Over-Under: 37.5

The Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) are on their way to Highmark Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Buffalo Bills (11-6) in an AFC Wildcard contest. Pittsburgh opens as 10-point dogs. The total is set at 37.5.

The Pittsburgh Steelers come into this matchup with a record of 10-7 this season. The last time they took the field, the Steelers stepped onto the field against the Ravens and notched a win by a score of 17-10. Mason Rudolph connected on 18/20 with 152 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 115 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. Najee Harris led the offense in rushing for the Steelers with 26 carries for 112 yds (4.3 yds per attempt). Diontae Johnson averaged 22.3 yards per reception by earning 89 yards on 4 catches. The Pittsburgh Steelers ended up running the ball 39 times and totaled 155 yds, which had them averaging 4.0 yds per carry. When all was said and done, they had 62 plays which gave them 289 yards. Pittsburgh gave up 15 completions on 28 tries for a total of 118 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.6%. Against the rush, the Steelers conceded 106 yards on 25 attempts, which is 4.2 yards per run allowed.

The Steelers have earned 5,173 total yards this year. Pittsburgh has compiled 153 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 86 infractions for 753 yds. When it comes to scoring, Pittsburgh has compiled 13 passing touchdowns and 16 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 16 different times (9 interceptions and 7 fumbles). As a team they average 118.2 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 13th in the NFL. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Pittsburgh Steelers are averaging 17.9 PPG.

In terms of yards through the air, the Steelers have given up 3,860 yards which puts them in 17th in the NFL. They have given up 227.1 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 60.7%. During this campaign, they have given up 342.1 yards per outing which puts them 21st in the NFL. They are giving up 4.3 yards per run and 115.1 rushing yards per contest over the course of this year. During this campaign, they have given up 1,956 yards via the ground game in 17 games. The Steelers are sitting in 6th in the league in terms of team defense, allowing 19.1 points per game.

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The Bills come into this matchup with a record of 11-6 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Bills got the victory with a final of 21-14 when they faced the Dolphins. Josh Allen (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 359 yards on 30/38 passing while his QB rating was 101.6. He threw 2 interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 9.4 yds. Khalil Shakir was one of the featured targets for the Bills, grabbing 6 passes for 105 yards (17.5 yds per catch). Josh Allen carried the ball 15 times for 67 yards, ending the contest with 4.5 yds per attempt for Buffalo. The Bills finished with 473 yds on 77 plays (6.1 yds per play). Buffalo ended up running for 3.6 yards per tote, finishing the game with 128 yards on 36 carries. Buffalo allowed 20 rush attempts for 108 yards (5.4 yards per carry). The Bills secondary gave up a completion percentage of 63.0%, relinquishing 167 yds on 17 for 27 passing.

When looking at their ability to score points, the Bills rank 6th out of all teams in the league holding an average of 26.5 PPG. For the season so far, the Bills currently sit at 4,154 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 244.4 passing yards per contest, which ranks 8th in the NFL. They average 130.1 yards per game on the ground and have run for 2,212 yards for the season. The Buffalo Bills maintain an average of 374.5 yards/game ranking them 4th in football. The Buffalo offense has accrued 883 yards of penalties on 106 violations, which has them sitting 7th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 18 interceptions while conceding 10 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 199 first downs.

The Bills are surrendering 18.3 PPG, which has them sitting 4th in the NFL. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns from the passing game and 196.6 yards per game, ranking them 7th out of all teams. Buffalo has allowed a total of 1,880 yards rushing (110.6 yards per outing) and 14 touchdowns via the rush for the season. The Bills defense taken the field for 1,015 plays, which is good for 3rd in the league. They have earned 30 takeaways (12 fumbles and 18 picks) this year. Overall, they have conceded 311 total points.

Who will win tonight's Steelers/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Steelers +10

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