New York Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction, 1/7/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, January 7, 2024

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 30.5

The New York Jets (6-10) are headed to Gillette Stadium on Sunday where they will compete against the New England Patriots (4-12). New England opens as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 30.5.

The New York Jets head into this game 6-10 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Jets played the Browns and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 37-20. Trevor Siemian connected on 32/45 with 261 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 83.7 and walked away from the contest with 1 interception. Breece Hall was the best rusher for the Jets with 13 totes for 84 yards (6.5 yds per carry). Garrett Wilson averaged 10.0 yds per reception by accumulating 50 yds on 5 catches. The New York Jets ran the ball 21 different times and accrued 107 yards, earning them an average of 5.1 yds per carry. In all, they ran 68 plays for 360 yards. New York gave up 19 completions on 29 attempts for 301 yds, and a completion rate of 65.5%. On the ground, the Jets gave up 127 yds on 28 tries, which averages out to 4.5 yds per rush surrendered.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the New York Jets are sitting at 15.7 points per contest. As a team they're maintaining an average of 91.4 yards on the ground which ranks them 28th in the NFL. The Jets have earned 4,312 yards in total for this campaign. New York has earned 153 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 123 penalties for 940 yards. They have surrendered the ball 32 times (15 picks and 17 fumbles). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, New York has totaled 11 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns on the ground.

Concerning yards through the air, the Jets have allowed 2,830 yards which has them sitting in 4th in the National Football League. They have allowed 176.9 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 61.2%. Over the course of this season, they have yielded 303.1 yards/game which ranks them 5th in the league. They are allowing 4.1 yards per rush and 126.3 yards on the ground per contest for the season. Over the course of this season, they have given up 2,020 yards via the ground game in 16 games. The Jets are ranked 18th in the league in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 22.0 PPG.

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The Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 4-12 for this year. In their last contest, the Patriots took a loss by a final score of 27-21 against the Bills. Bailey Zappe ended the contest with 209 yards on 16/26 passing while his QB rating was 47.3. He tossed 3 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.0 yds. Kevin Harris was the best receiver for the Patriots, bringing in 2 balls for 54 yds (27.0 yds per catch). Ezekiel Elliott ran the football 14 times for 39 yds, walking away from the contest with 2.8 yds per carry for New England. The Patriots finished the game with a total of 294 yds and they ran 53 plays (5.5 yds per play). New England rushed for 4.3 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 103 yds on 24 carries. New England conceded 37 running attempts for 127 yds (3.4 yards per rush). The Patriots secondary conceded a completion rate of 50.0%, surrendering 154 yds on 15 for 30 passing.

When discussing how much they score, the Patriots rank 32nd in the league with 14.6 points per contest. During the season thus far, the Patriots have compiled 3,038 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 189.9 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 24th in the NFL. They are averaging 96.2 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,539 yards for this year. The New England Patriots average 286.1 yards/outing which has them ranked 28th in football. The New England offense has 641 penalty yards on 85 infractions, which has them sitting 24th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 19 picks while surrendering 8 fumbles and they have been able to tally 150 first downs.

The Patriots are allowing 21.8 points per game, which has them in 17th in the league. They have conceded 19 touchdowns through the air in addition to 217.1 yards per outing, which has them sitting 14th in the league. New England has yielded a total of 1,399 yards on the ground (87.4 yards per contest) and 13 touchdowns by ground for the year. The Patriots defense has participated in 1,028 plays, which ranks them 21st in the league. Their defense has totaled 17 takeaways (7 fumbles recovered and 10 interceptions) for the year. In total, they have conceded 349 total points.

Who will win tonight's Jets/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jets +2.5

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