New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 9/29/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 42

The New Orleans Saints (2-1) are traveling to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the Atlanta Falcons (1-2). New Orleans is 1.5-point dogs. The total is 42.

The New Orleans Saints come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Saints took on the Philadelphia Eagles and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 15-12. Alvin Kamara was the rushing leader for the Saints with 26 attempts for 87 yards (3.3 yards per attempt). Chris Olave left with an average of 14.3 yards per reception by totaling 86 yds on 6 catches. Derek Carr connected on 14/25 with 142 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 69.1 and ended the game with 1 interception. In the running game, the Saints conceded 172 yards on 25 tries, which is an average of 6.9 yards per run allowed. New Orleans relinquished 29 completions on 38 tries for a total of 288 yds, and a completion percentage of 76.3%. Overall, they ran 54 plays which gave them 219 yds. The New Orleans Saints ended up rushing 29 different times and tallied 89 yds, which earned them an average of 3.1 yds per carry.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the New Orleans Saints are sitting at 34.3 points per game. As a team they hold an average of 153.0 yards in the run game which ranks them 6th in the NFL. The Saints have attained 1,030 total yards over the course of this year. New Orleans has tallied 22 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 18 infractions for 160 yards. They have surrendered the football 3 different times (2 picks and 1 fumble lost). In terms of scoring, New Orleans has amassed 6 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing touchdowns.

The Saints are ranked 5th in the NFL regarding their opponents scoring, allowing 14.7 PPG. The opposition is running for 4.5 yards per run and 99.3 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 298 yards via the running game in 3 contests. When talking about yards through the air, the Saints have conceded 708 yards which ranks them 25th in the NFL. They have surrendered 236.0 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 63.1%. In total, they are surrendering 335.3 yards per contest which has them sitting 21st in the league. They have surrendered 1 touchdown by air as well as 3 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 1-2 for this season. When they last took the field, the Falcons walked away with a loss by a score of 22-17 against the Kansas City Chiefs. Bijan Robinson carried the football 16 times for 31 yards, walking away from the game with 1.9 yards per carry for Atlanta. Drake London was the best receiver for the Falcons, bringing in 6 throws for 67 yards (11.2 yds per catch). Kirk Cousins (1 touchdown) finished the game with 230 yds on 20/29 through the air while his QB rate was 89.7. He threw 1 interception and his Y/A was 7.9 yards. Atlanta surrendered 33 run attempts for 128 yds (3.9 yards per carry). The Falcons passing defense gave up a completion rate of 66.7%, relinquishing 217 yards on 26 for 39 through the air. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 311 yds and they ran 54 plays (5.8 yds per play). Atlanta ended up running for 3.3 yds per attempt, finishing with 82 yards on 25 carries.

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Falcons currently sit 27th in the NFL averaging 16.3 PPG. For the season so far, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 599 yards through the air along with holding an average of 199.7 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 18th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 107.7 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 323 yards for the season. The Atlanta Falcons are averaging 307.3 yards/outing which ranks them 20th out of all teams in the NFL. The Atlanta offense has totaled 118 yards of penalties on 14 infractions, which is 30th in football in terms of helping out the other team.

The Falcons are relinquishing 20.3 PPG, ranking them 13th of all teams in the league. They have yielded 3 touchdowns via the pass as well as 176.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 11th in the NFL. Atlanta has surrendered a total of 451 yards via the ground game (150.3 yards per outing) and 1 touchdown rushing this year. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 206 plays, which ranks 31st in the league. Their defense has tallied 2 turnovers (0 fumbles and 2 picks) on the season.

Who will win tonight's Saints/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -1.5

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