New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 8/25/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3 Preseason

Game: New England Patriots at Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, August 25, 2024

Location: Commanders Field in Landover, MD

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (+5.0)

Total/Over-Under: 34

The New England Patriots (4-13 last season) are hitting the road to Commanders Field on Sunday where they will go up against the Washington Commanders (4-13 last year). New England opens this contest as 5.0-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 34.

The New England Patriots ended the season with a 4-13 record. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Patriots faced the Steelers and earned the victory with a final of 21-18. Ezekiel Elliott was the rushing leader for the Patriots with 22 carries for 68 yards (3.1 yds per carry). JuJu Smith-Schuster left with an average of 22.5 yards per reception by totaling 90 yards on 4 catches. Bailey Zappe finished 19/28 with 240 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 115.2 and ended the game with 1 interception. On the ground, the Patriots gave up 82 yds on 28 attempts, which is an average of 2.9 yards per run allowed. New England conceded 22 pass completions on 36 attempts for a total of 182 yds, and a completion rate of 61.1%. For the game, they tallied 55 plays which totaled 303 yds. The New England Patriots ran the football 25 times and totaled 81 yards, earning them an average of 3.2 yards per tote.

The Patriots racked up 4,696 total yards for the prior year. New England accumulated 153 1st downs as a team, and they committed 89 penalties for 676 yards. New England earned 16 touchdowns via the pass and 9 touchdowns via the ground. They surrendered the football 29 different times (21 picks and 8 fumbles lost). As a unit they had an average of 95.7 yards on the ground, which was 26th in the NFL. In terms of getting in the endzone, the New England Patriots averaged 13.9 PPG.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Patriots gave up 3,543 yards which put them in 11th in the National Football League. During their 17 games played last year, they conceded 208.4 yards per contest through the air in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 64.3%. They allowed 301.6 yards per game which had them ranked 7th in the National Football League. They gave up an average of 3.3 yards per rushing attempt and 93.2 rushing yards per contest last season. Overall, they gave up 1,584 yards on the ground in 17 outings. The Patriots ranked 15th in the league regarding team defense, conceding 21.5 PPG.

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The Commanders ended the year holding a 4-13 mark. In their last game, the Commanders took a loss by a score of 45-15 when they faced the Dolphins. Sam Howell walked away from the contest with 127 yds on 12/23 passing while his QB rating was 50.5. He had 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 5.5 yards. Brian Robinson Jr. carried the ball 7 times for 53 yards, finishing the contest with 7.6 yards per carry for Washington. Curtis Samuel was a featured target for the Commanders, bringing in 4 balls for 65 yards (16.3 yds per reception). Washington rushed for 4.9 yds per attempt, totaling 138 yards on 28 attempts. The Commanders finished with 245 yards while they ran 54 plays (4.5 yds per play). The Commanders secondary allowed a completion rate of 76.0%, relinquishing 283 yards on 19 out of 25 passing. Washington gave up 34 attempts on the ground for 123 yards (3.6 yards per rush).

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Commanders were ranked 25th in the league holding an average of 19.4 PPG. Last year, the Commanders earned 3,725 yards through the air not to mention an average of 219.1 throwing yards per outing, which had them sitting 18th out of all NFL teams. They held an average of 93.6 rushing yards per game and toted the ball for 1,592 yards for the year. The Washington Commanders averaged 312.8 yards per outing ranking them 24th in football. The Washington offense compiled 701 yards of penalties on 87 infractions, which ranked 26th in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. They tossed 21 picks while letting opponents recover 11 fumbles and they recorded 190 1st downs.

The Commanders conceded 30.5 PPG, which had them sitting 32nd in football. They gave up 39 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 262.2 yards/outing, which had them ranked 32nd in the league. Washington surrendered a total of 2,155 yards rushing (126.8 yards per game) and 15 touchdowns via the rush throughout last season. The Commanders defense took the field for 1,117 plays, which had them ranked 30th in football. They tallied 18 turnovers (10 fumbles recovered and 8 interceptions) in the previous season. Last year, they allowed 518 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Patriots -5.0

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