New England Patriots vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction, 9/29/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: 49ers (-10.0)

Total/Over-Under: 39.5

Levi's Stadium is the location where the San Francisco 49ers (1-2) will go up against the New England Patriots (1-2) on Sunday. San Francisco opens this matchup as 10.0-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 39.5.

The New England Patriots come into this game with a record of 1-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Patriots stepped onto the field against the New York Jets and went home with a loss by a final score of 24-3. Rhamondre Stevenson was the rushing leader for the Patriots with 6 carries for 23 yds (3.8 yds per attempt). Demario Douglas averaged 9.9 yards per catch by accumulating 69 yds on 7 catches. Jacoby Brissett went 12/18 with 98 yds passing. He had a QB rate of 80.3 and finished the contest with no picks. Against the rush, the Patriots gave up 133 yards on 33 tries, which calculates to 4.0 yds per rush allowed. New England allowed 27 pass completions on 35 attempts for a total of 267 yds, and a completion rate of 77.1%. On the day, they tallied 41 plays which gave them 139 yds. The New England Patriots rushed the ball a total of 15 different times and compiled 78 yards, which came out to an average of 5.2 yds per attempt.

The Patriots have earned 739 total yards for the season. New England has amassed 21 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 13 penalties for 152 yds. With reference to scoring touchdowns, New England has totaled 1 touchdown in the air and 2 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 1 time. As a unit they're averaging 144.3 yards on the ground ranking them 8th in the league. In terms of putting points on the board, the New England Patriots have an average of 13.0 points per contest.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Patriots have allowed 733 yards which has them sitting in 27th in the National Football League. They have conceded 244.3 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 75.0%. They have yielded 3 touchdowns by air as well as 3 touchdowns pounding the rock. Over the course of this season, they are granting 327.3 yards per game ranking them 19th in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.7 yards per rushing attempt and 83.0 yards on the ground per game over the course of this season. The Patriots rank 11th in the league concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 19.0 points per game. Overall, they have allowed 249 rushing yards through 3 games.

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The 49ers head into this game 1-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the 49ers took a loss by a score of 27-24 against the Los Angeles Rams. Brock Purdy (3 TDs) finished the game with 292 yds on 22/30 through the air while his QB rate was 137.1. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 9.7 yards. Jauan Jennings was the best receiver for the 49ers, bringing in 11 throws for 175 yards (15.9 yards per catch). Jordan Mason carried the rock 19 times for 77 yds, ending the game with 4.1 yards per carry for San Francisco. The 49ers finished the game with a total of 425 yds while they ran 64 plays (6.6 yds per play). San Francisco rushed the football for 4.0 yards per tote, finishing the game with 137 yards on 34 carries. San Francisco allowed 26 rushing attempts for 98 yds (3.8 yards per rush). The 49ers pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 61.5%, relinquishing 198 yds on 16 for 26 passing.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the 49ers are ranking 9th in the NFL holding an average of 24.3 points per contest. During this campaign so far, the 49ers have compiled 803 yards via the pass as well as an average of 267.7 passing yards per outing, putting them at 2nd in the NFL. They average 139.7 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 419 yards overall. The San Francisco 49ers maintain an average of 407.3 yards/outing which has them sitting 3rd in the NFL. The San Francisco offense has 181 yds of penalties on 15 infractions, which ranks them 26th in football in terms of hurting your team.

The 49ers are relinquishing 23.0 points per game, which has them ranked 21st of all teams in the NFL. They have allowed 5 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 217.7 yards/contest, which has them ranked 20th in the league. San Francisco has given up a total of 312 yards rushing (104.0 yards per outing) and 3 touchdowns by ground for the year. The 49ers defense has taken part in 158 plays, which is 3rd in the league. They have 4 takeaways (2 fumbles and 2 picks) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/49ers NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Patriots +10.0

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