New England Patriots vs New York Jets Prediction, 9/19/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: New England Patriots at New York Jets

Date: Thursday, September 19, 2024

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 37.5

The New York Jets (1-1) welcome the New England Patriots (1-1) at MetLife Stadium on Thursday. New England opens this contest as 6.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 37.5.

The New England Patriots head into this game 1-1 for this season. In their last game, the Patriots played against the Seattle Seahawks and ended up losing by a score of 23-20. Antonio Gibson led the offense in rushing for the Patriots with 11 totes for 96 yds (8.7 yards per attempt). Hunter Henry averaged 13.6 yds per catch by notching 109 yards on 8 receptions. Jacoby Brissett finished 15/27 with 149 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 83.7 and ended the game with no picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Patriots conceded 46 yards on 19 tries, which is 2.4 yds per run allowed. New England allowed 33 pass completions on 44 attempts for 312 yards, and a completion rate of 75.0%. At the end of the game, they had 63 plays which gave them a total of 310 yds. The New England Patriots ran the football 36 different times and accumulated 185 yards, which came out to an average of 5.1 yards per attempt.

The Patriots have earned 600 total yards for the season. New England has tallied 15 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 8 penalties for 82 yards. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, New England has amassed 1 touchdown in the air and 2 touchdowns via the ground. They have yet to turn the ball over. As a unit they maintain an average of 177.5 yards on the ground which ranks them 5th in the NFL. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the New England Patriots have an average of 18.0 points per game.

The Patriots are sitting in 5th in the league in relation to team defense, allowing 16.5 points per game. They are giving up an average of 3.3 yards per rushing attempt and 58.0 rushing yards per game for the year. Over the course of this season, they have given up 116 yards via the running game in 2 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Patriots have surrendered 466 yards which ranks them 27th in the league. They have conceded 233.0 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 74.0%. In total, they are allowing 291.0 yards per game putting them 11th in the National Football League. They have relinquished 1 touchdown via the pass and 2 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Jets head into this matchup 1-1 this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Jets got the win with a final of 24-17 when they played the Tennessee Titans. Breece Hall ran the football 14 times for 62 yards, ending the contest with 4.4 yards per carry for New York. Garrett Wilson was a featured target for the Jets, bringing in 4 balls for 57 yds (14.3 yds per catch). Aaron Rodgers (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 176 yards on 18/30 passing while his QB rate was 98.7. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.9 yards. New York gave up 28 run attempts for 130 yards (4.6 yds per carry). The Jets pass defense conceded a completion rate of 67.9%, relinquishing 170 yds on 19 out of 28 through the air. The Jets finished the game with 265 yds and they ran 54 plays (4.9 yards per play). New York ran for 4.2 yds per attempt, totaling 101 yards on 24 attempts.

The New York Jets average 265.5 yards/contest which has them sitting 27th out of all teams in the league. They average 84.5 run yards per game and have run for 169 yards for the year. The New York offense has totaled 80 penalty yds on 10 infractions, which is 24th in football in terms of hurting your team. For the season so far, the Jets have thrown for a total of 362 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 181.0 passing yards per game, which is ranked 22nd in the league. In terms of putting points on the board, the Jets are 15th out of all teams in the NFL by tallying 21.5 points per game.

They have given up 1 touchdown from the passing game in addition to 195.5 yards per outing, ranking them 17th out of all teams. New York has given up a total of 310 yards rushing (155.0 yards per game) in addition to 3 touchdowns via the rush for the season. Their defense has compiled 2 takeaways (1 fumble recovery and 1 pick) on the campaign. The Jets defense taken the field for 130 plays, which is good for 25th in football. The Jets are allowing 24.5 PPG, which has them sitting 25th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Jets NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +6.5

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