New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 11/24/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

Game: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, November 24, 2024

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Miami Dolphins (4-6) will compete against the New England Patriots (3-8) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. Miami is 7.0-point favorites. The total is 46.5.

The New England Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 3-8 for this season. In their last contest, the Patriots stepped onto the field against the Los Angeles Rams and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 28-22. Rhamondre Stevenson was the best rusher for the Patriots with 20 totes for 73 yards (3.7 yds per attempt). Kendrick Bourne averaged 14.0 yds per catch by earning 70 yards on 5 catches. Drake Maye went 30/40 with 282 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 100.2 and finished the game with 1 pick. On the ground, the Patriots conceded 107 yds on 24 attempts, which is 4.5 yds per rush surrendered. New England allowed 18 pass completions on 27 attempts for a total of 295 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 70 plays which gave them 382 yards. The New England Patriots ended up running the ball 30 times and totaled 125 yards, which had them averaging 4.2 yds per carry.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the New England Patriots have an average of 16.5 PPG. As a team they average 115.3 yards via the ground game which is 21st in the NFL. The Patriots have earned 3,093 yards in total this year. New England has tallied 104 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 71 penalties for 555 yards. They have surrendered the ball 14 times (7 picks and 7 fumbles). In terms of scoring touchdowns, New England has compiled 11 touchdowns via the pass and 7 rushing touchdowns.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Patriots have surrendered 2,385 yards which ranks them 25th in the league. They are allowing 216.8 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 65.5%. They have relinquished 16 touchdowns by air as well as 10 touchdowns on the ground. Over the course of this year, they are giving up 345.2 yards per contest which ranks them 20th in football. They are giving up an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 128.4 yards on the ground per game for the season. The Patriots sit in 18th in the NFL regarding team defense, allowing 22.5 PPG. In total, they have conceded 1,412 rushing yards through 11 games.

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The Dolphins head into this game 4-6 for this season. In their last game, the Dolphins took home the win by a final score of 34-19 when they played the Las Vegas Raiders. De'Von Achane carried the football 17 times for 73 yards, walking away from the game with 4.3 yds per attempt for Miami. Jonnu Smith was the leading receiver for the Dolphins, hauling in 6 footballs for 101 yards (16.8 yards per catch). Tua Tagovailoa (3 touchdowns) finished the contest with 288 yds on 28/36 through the air while his QB rate was 127.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.0 yds. Miami relinquished 16 attempts on the ground for 60 yards (3.8 yds per carry). The Dolphins pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 69.8%, relinquishing 268 yards on 30 out of 43 through the air. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 353 yds while running 62 plays (5.7 yards per play). Miami ran the ball for 3.2 yds per carry, finishing the game with 82 yards on 26 attempts.

The Miami Dolphins average 319.0 yards/contest which ranks them 22nd in football. They are averaging 122.0 run yards per game and have run for 1,220 yards for the year. The Miami offense has racked up 550 penalty yards on 64 infractions, which ranks 17th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. Over the course of the season so far, the Dolphins have earned 1,970 passing yards as well as an average of 197.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 24th in the NFL. In terms of this team's ability to score points, the Dolphins rank 27th in football averaging 18.1 points per game.

They have conceded 10 touchdowns via the pass as well as 199.0 yards/game, which puts them in 10th in the NFL. Miami has given up a total of 1,090 yards on the ground (109.0 yards per game) and 10 touchdowns by ground for the season. They have compiled 9 takeaways (3 fumbles and 6 interceptions) on the season. The Dolphins defense has participated in 584 plays, which is good for 3rd in the league. The Dolphins are allowing 22.1 points per contest, ranking them 15th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -7.0

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