New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 10/20/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7

Game: New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, October 20, 2024

Location: Wembley Stadium in London, England

TV: NFL NET

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 42.5

Wembley Stadium is where the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5) will take on the New England Patriots (1-5) on Sunday. New England is 5.5-point underdogs. The total has been set at 42.5.

The New England Patriots head into this matchup 1-5 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Patriots faced off with the Houston Texans and went home with a loss by a final score of 41-21. Drake Maye connected on 20/33 with 243 yds through the air and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 88.3 and ended the contest with 2 picks. Drake Maye led the offense in rushing for the Patriots with 5 attempts for 38 yds (7.6 yds per attempt). Demario Douglas had an average of 15.3 yds per catch by totaling 92 yds on 6 catches. The New England Patriots ran the football 26 different times and accounted for 82 yds, which earned them an average of 3.2 yds per attempt. When all was said and done, they tallied 59 plays which gave them 291 yds. New England conceded 20 completions on 32 attempts for a total of 176 yds, and a completion rate of 62.5%. In the running game, the Patriots gave up 192 yards on 28 tries, which is an average of 6.9 yards per run surrendered.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the New England Patriots are averaging 13.8 points per contest. As a unit they average 123.2 yards on the ground ranking them 12th in the NFL. The Patriots have racked up 1,545 total yards this year. New England has earned 49 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 37 penalties for 327 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 8 times (3 interceptions and 5 fumbles). When it comes to getting in the endzone, New England has totaled 5 touchdowns through the air and 3 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning yards through the air, the Patriots have given up 1,371 yards which puts them in 26th in the NFL. They are allowing 228.5 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 67.7%. They have allowed 7 touchdowns by air in addition to 7 touchdowns via the ground game. Over the course of this season, they are giving up 358.8 yards per contest which puts them 25th in the league. They are allowing 4.6 yards per attempt on the ground and 130.3 rushing yards per game this season. The Patriots sit in 21st in the league concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 23.8 points per game. Overall, they have conceded 782 rushing yards through 6 games.

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The Jaguars come into this game with a record of 1-5 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Jaguars took a loss by a final score of 35-16 against the Chicago Bears. Trevor Lawrence (2 TDs) ended the game with 234 yds on 23/35 through the air while his quarterback rate was 91.8. He had 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.7 yds. D'Ernest Johnson carried the rock 6 times for 28 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.7 yards per carry for Jacksonville. Evan Engram was the top contributor in the passing game for the Jaguars, bringing in 10 balls for 102 yds (10.2 yards per catch). Jacksonville rushed for 3.4 yds per attempt, finishing with 68 yds on 20 attempts. The Jaguars finished the game with 278 yards and they ran 56 plays (5.0 yards per play). The Jaguars passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 79.3%, relinquishing 221 yards on 23 out of 29 through the air. Jacksonville allowed 29 running attempts for 152 yards (5.2 yards per rush).

Regarding their ability to score points, the Jaguars currently sit 23rd in the NFL scoring 18.8 PPG. During the season to this point, the Jaguars have a total of 1,218 yards via the pass as well as an average of 203.0 throwing yards per game, ranking them 20th in football. They are averaging 116.5 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 699 yards in total. The Jacksonville Jaguars are averaging 319.5 yards per game which is good for 19th out of all teams in the league. The Jacksonville offense has racked up 280 penalty yds on 38 violations, which has them sitting 13th in football in terms of making mistakes.

The Jaguars are giving up 29.7 points per contest, which has them sitting 31st in the NFL. They have allowed 14 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 276.7 yards per outing, which has them in 32nd in the league. Jacksonville has surrendered a total of 680 rushing yards (113.3 yards per game) in addition to 7 touchdowns rushing for the season. The Jaguars defense has taken part in 388 plays, which is good for 27th in football. Their defense has earned 3 takeaways (2 fumbles recovered and 1 interception) on the season.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jaguars -5.5

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