New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 11/10/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: New England Patriots at Chicago Bears

Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 39

The New England Patriots (2-7) are on their way to Soldier Field on Sunday where they will go up against the Chicago Bears (4-4). New England opens this contest as 6.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 39.

The New England Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 2-7 for this season. In their last game, the Patriots played the Tennessee Titans and went home with a loss by a final score of 20-17. Drake Maye finished 29/41 with 206 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 69.8 and finished the game with 2 picks. Rhamondre Stevenson was the leader on the ground for the Patriots with 20 totes for 48 yds (2.4 yds per carry). Hunter Henry left with an average of 8.0 yds per reception by recording 56 yards on 7 catches. The New England Patriots rushed the ball a total of 20 different times and totaled 110 yds, earning them an average of 5.5 yds per carry. In all, they ran 61 plays which gave them a total of 295 yards. New England relinquished 20 pass completions on 33 attempts for a total of 233 yds, and a completion rate of 60.6%. When it came to stopping the run, the Patriots conceded 167 yds on 39 attempts, which calculates to 4.3 yds per rush allowed.

The Patriots currently have 2,383 total yards this season. New England has tallied 79 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 57 penalties for 470 yds. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, New England has earned 8 passing touchdowns and 7 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 11 different times (5 picks and 6 fumbles). As a unit they have an average of 111.0 yards on the ground ranking them 24th in the league. Regarding scoring, the New England Patriots hold an average of 15.7 points per contest.

Regarding yards through the air, the Patriots have conceded 2,021 yards which puts them in 25th in the NFL. They have yielded 224.6 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 66.7%. They have yielded 12 touchdowns through the air as well as 10 touchdowns via the ground game. For the year, they are granting 361.4 yards per game which puts them 26th in the league. The opposition is running for 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 136.9 yards on the ground per game for the year. The Patriots rank 21st in the NFL in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 24.1 points per game. Overall, they have allowed 1,232 yards via the ground game in 9 games.

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The Bears come into this game with a record of 4-4 this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Bears went home defeated by a final of 29-9 when they played the Arizona Cardinals. D'Andre Swift ran the football 18 times for 129 yards, walking away from the game with 7.2 yards per carry for Chicago. Rome Odunze was one of the featured targets for the Bears, snagging 5 passes for 104 yards (20.8 yds per catch). Caleb Williams ended the game with 217 yards on 22/41 through the air while his quarterback rating was 68.9. He didn't toss any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 5.3 yards. Chicago surrendered 34 attempts on the ground for 213 yards (6.3 yards per carry). The Bears passing defense conceded a completion rate of 65.0%, surrendering 137 yards on 13 for 20 passing. The Bears finished the game with a total of 241 yds and they ran 64 plays (3.8 yards per play). Chicago ran the football for 3.0 yards per carry, finishing the game with 69 yds on 23 attempts.

In relation to putting points on the board, the Bears rank 19th out of all teams in the NFL scoring 21.5 PPG. During the season to this point, the Bears currently have a total of 1,457 yards through the air together with an average of 182.1 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 29th in the league. They have an average of 112.5 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 900 yards for the year. The Chicago Bears are averaging 294.6 yards per game which ranks them 28th out of all teams in the NFL. The Chicago offense has racked up 373 penalty yards on 51 violations, which is 24th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition.

The Bears are allowing 18.5 PPG, which has them sitting 5th of all teams in the NFL. They have allowed 5 touchdowns through the air and 191.3 yards per game, which has them in 8th in the NFL. Chicago has allowed a total of 1,053 yards on the ground (131.6 yards/game) and 9 touchdowns via the rush for the season. The Bears defense has participated in 481 plays, which has them sitting 8th in the league. They have 15 takeaways (8 fumbles and 7 picks) on the season.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Bears NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots +6.5

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