New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 12/22/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, December 22, 2024

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Bills (-14.0)

Total-Over-Under: 47

Highmark Stadium is the location where the Buffalo Bills (11-3) will attempt to beat the New England Patriots (3-11) on Sunday. Buffalo is 14.0-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under comes in at 47.

The New England Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 3-11 this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Patriots went up against the Arizona Cardinals and ended up losing by a score of 30-17. Drake Maye finished 19-23 with 202 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 99.6 and ended the game with 1 pick. Kendrick Bourne had an average of 14.7 yds per reception by tallying 44 yards on 3 catches. Rhamondre Stevenson was the rushing leader for the Patriots with 13 totes for 69 yds (5.3 yds per attempt). In the game, they ran 47 plays which totaled 311 yards. The New England Patriots ran the football 24 different times and tallied 116 yds, which is an average of 4.8 yards per carry. On the ground, the Patriots conceded 163 yds on 32 attempts, which is an average of 5.1 yards per run allowed. New England surrendered 25 pass completions on 32 tries for a total of 232 yards, and a completion percentage of 78.1%.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the New England Patriots are averaging 17.0 PPG. Offensively they're averaging 119.3 yards on the ground ranking them 14th in the NFL. The Patriots currently have 4,095 total yards this season. New England has recorded 136 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 92 penalties for 763 yards. They have turned the ball over 18 different times (10 interceptions and 8 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring, New England has earned 14 touchdowns through the air and 9 touchdowns on the ground.

When it comes to passing yards, the Patriots have allowed 3,034 yards which has them ranked 17th in the NFL. They have allowed 216.7 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 66.2%. They have relinquished 22 touchdowns by air as well as 13 touchdowns on the ground. Over the course of this season, they are allowing 344.1 yards per contest ranking them 22nd in football. They are allowing 4.4 yards per running attempt and 127.4 rushing yards per contest this season. The Patriots are ranked 23rd in the NFL when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 24.1 points per game. During the season, they have conceded 1,784 rushing yards through 14 games.

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The Bills step onto the field holding a record of 11-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Bills took home the win by a final score of 48-42 when they played the Detroit Lions. Josh Allen (2 TDs) ended the game with 362 yds on 23-34 through the air while his QB rating was 122.4. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 10.6 yds. Ty Johnson was the best receiver for the Bills, snagging 5 passes for 114 yds (22.8 yds per reception). James Cook carried the football 14 times for 105 yds, finishing the game with 7.5 yards per attempt for Buffalo. The Bills finished with a total of 559 yds while running 68 plays (8.2 yards per play). Buffalo rushed the ball for 5.8 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 197 yards on 34 carries. Buffalo allowed 15 running attempts for 48 yds (3.2 yards per rush). The Bills pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 64.4%, relinquishing 473 yards on 38 out of 59 passing.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Bills currently rank 2nd out of all teams in the NFL by scoring 31.8 PPG. For the year thus far, the Bills currently have a total of 3,343 yards through the air along with holding an average of 238.8 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 7th in the league. They hold an average of 130.8 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,831 yards overall. The Buffalo Bills average 369.6 yards per game which has them sitting 7th in football. The Buffalo offense has accrued 660 penalty yards on 86 violations, which is 21st in the league in terms of helping out the opposition.

The Bills are allowing 22.1 PPG, which has them in 12th of all teams in the league. They have given up 23 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 227.8 yards per game, ranking them 25th in the league. Buffalo has conceded a total of 1,648 rushing yards (117.7 yards-game) and 11 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. The Bills defense has taken part in 866 plays, which ranks them 16th in the NFL. Their defense has 25 takeaways (12 fumbles recovered and 13 interceptions) on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Patriots-Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Patriots +14.0

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