Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 9/29/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Green Bay Packers (2-1) welcome the Minnesota Vikings (3-0) at Lambeau Field on Sunday. Green Bay opens as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 43.5.

The Minnesota Vikings head into this game 3-0 for this year. In their last contest, the Vikings played against the Houston Texans and earned the victory with a final of 34-7. Aaron Jones led the offense in rushing for the Vikings with 19 totes for 102 yds (5.4 yards per carry). Justin Jefferson held an average of 13.5 yds per catch by earning 81 yds on 6 receptions. Sam Darnold connected on 17/28 with 181 yds through the air and 4 TDs. He had a QB rating of 119.2 and ended the game without throwing an interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Vikings gave up 38 yds on 14 tries, which is an average of 2.7 yards per run allowed. Minnesota allowed 28 completions on 44 tries for 258 yards, and a completion rate of 63.6%. Overall, they tallied 56 plays which totaled 274 yds. The Minnesota Vikings ended up rushing 28 times and totaled 118 yards, which is an average of 4.2 yds per carry.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Minnesota Vikings are sitting at 28.3 points per game. Offensively they're averaging 125.0 yards on the ground which is 13th in the National Football League. The Vikings have racked up 989 total yards for the season. Minnesota has amassed 29 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 19 infractions for 146 yds. They have surrendered the football 4 times (2 picks and 2 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring, Minnesota has amassed 8 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground.

The Vikings rank 2nd in the National Football League concerning team defense, allowing 10.0 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.6 yards per attempt on the ground and 71.3 yards on the ground per game for the year. Over the course of this season, they have given up 214 running yards through 3 games. Regarding passing yards, the Vikings have conceded 718 yards which puts them in 26th in the NFL. They are giving up 239.3 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 63.9%. During the season, they are surrendering 310.7 yards per game putting them 13th in the league. They have yielded 2 touchdowns by air as well as 1 touchdown via the ground game.

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The Packers head into this matchup 2-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Packers got the victory with a final of 30-14 when they played the Tennessee Titans. Malik Willis (1 TD) ended the game with 202 yds on 13/19 through the air while his quarterback rate was 120.9. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 10.6 yds. Josh Jacobs carried the ball 14 times for 43 yds, ending the game with 3.1 yds per attempt for Green Bay. Christian Watson was one of the featured targets for the Packers, hauling in 2 balls for 67 yards (33.5 yards per reception). Green Bay rushed the ball for 5.1 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 188 yards on 37 attempts. The Packers finished the contest with 378 yds while running 56 plays (6.8 yds per play). The Packers passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 76.5%, relinquishing 204 yds on 26 for 34 passing. Green Bay gave up 11 running attempts for 33 yards (3.0 yds per carry).

The Green Bay Packers have an average of 391.7 yards/game which has them ranked 5th out of all teams in the NFL. They average 204.0 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 612 yards in total. The Green Bay offense has compiled 196 yards of penalties on 26 infractions, which is 5th in football in terms of helping out the other team. For the season thus far, the Packers have thrown for a total of 563 yards via the pass as well as an average of 187.7 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 22nd in the league. When looking at how much they score, the Packers are sitting 7th out of all teams in football maintaining an average of 25.0 points per contest.

They have given up 5 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 222.7 yards/outing, which has them sitting 22nd out of all teams. Green Bay has allowed a total of 317 yards on the ground (105.7 yards per outing) as well as 2 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have 9 takeaways (2 fumbles recovered and 7 picks) this year. The Packers defense has participated in 180 plays, which ranks them 14th in football. The Packers are relinquishing 19.3 points per game, which puts them in 12th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Vikings/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Vikings +2.5

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