Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams Prediction, 11/11/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams

Date: Monday, November 11, 2024

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Rams (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Los Angeles Rams (4-4) host the Miami Dolphins (2-6) at SoFi Stadium on Monday. Miami opens this game as 2.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 51.

The Miami Dolphins head into this game 2-6 for this year. In their last contest, the Dolphins stepped onto the field against the Buffalo Bills and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 30-27. Tua Tagovailoa finished 25/28 with 231 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 124.9 and walked away from the contest with no picks. Tyreek Hill held an average of 20.0 yds per reception by accumulating 80 yds on 4 receptions. De'Von Achane was the rushing leader for the Dolphins with 12 totes for 63 yards (5.3 yds per carry). On the day, they ran 59 plays for 373 yds. The Miami Dolphins ended up running the ball 31 different times and totaled 149 yds, which came out to an average of 4.8 yds per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Dolphins conceded 94 yds on 19 attempts, which is an average of 4.9 yds per rush allowed. Miami conceded 25 completions on 39 tries for 231 yards, and a completion rate of 64.1%.

The Dolphins have racked up 2,599 total yards over the course of this season. Miami has recorded 82 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 59 penalties for 512 yards. With reference to scoring touchdowns, Miami has compiled 6 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 9 times (4 interceptions and 5 fumbles). Offensively they're averaging 133.9 yards rushing which is 9th in the NFL. When talking about scoring, the Miami Dolphins have an average of 15.5 points per contest.

The Dolphins sit in 17th in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 23.4 PPG. The opposition is running for 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 120.0 rushing yards per game for the year. For the season, they have conceded 960 yards via the running game in 8 outings. When talking about passing yards, the Dolphins have allowed 1,465 yards which puts them in 3rd in the NFL. They have surrendered 183.1 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 62.3%. In total, they have given up 303.1 yards per game putting them at 7th in the NFL. They have granted 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 10 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Rams come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 for this season. In their last contest, the Rams got the victory with a final of 26-20 against the Seattle Seahawks. Kyren Williams carried the ball 23 times for 97 yards, ending the contest with 4.2 yards per attempt for Los Angeles. Cooper Kupp was one of the featured targets for the Rams, snagging 11 balls for 104 yards (9.5 yards per reception). Matthew Stafford (2 TDs) ended the game with 298 yards on 25/44 passing while his quarterback rate was 83.3. He tossed 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.8 yds. Los Angeles conceded 33 running attempts for 107 yds (3.2 yds per carry). The Rams passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 61.8%, surrendering 317 yds on 21 out of 34 through the air. The Rams finished with a total of 366 yds while running 68 plays (5.4 yards per play). Los Angeles rushed the ball for 2.8 yards per attempt, finishing with 68 yds on 24 carries.

When looking at this team's ability to score points, the Rams currently sit 21st in football averaging 21.3 points per contest. During the season to this point, the Rams have thrown for a total of 1,854 yards through the air as well as an average of 231.8 throwing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 9th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 97.1 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 777 yards for this year. The Los Angeles Rams are averaging 328.9 yards/game which is good for 18th in football. The Los Angeles offense has racked up 360 penalty yards on 44 infractions, which ranks 28th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes.

The Rams are conceding 24.3 points per game, which has them ranked 22nd in the NFL. They have surrendered 15 touchdowns via the pass as well as 225.6 yards/game, which has them in 23rd out of all teams. Los Angeles has given up a total of 1,081 yards via the ground game (135.1 yards/game) as well as 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Rams defense has been on the field for 499 plays, which is 10th in the league. Their defense has compiled 11 turnovers (3 fumbles recovered and 8 interceptions) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Rams NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rams -2.5

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