Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans Prediction, 12/15/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15
Game: Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans
Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024
Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX
TV: CBS
Odds/Point Spread: Texans (-2.5)
Total/Over-Under: 47.5
The Houston Texans (8-5) will compete against the Miami Dolphins (6-7) at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Houston opens this contest as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 47.5.
The Miami Dolphins come into this game with a record of 6-7 this year. When they last took the field, the Dolphins played the New York Jets and walked away with a win by a score of 32-26. Tua Tagovailoa went 33/47 with 331 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 104.1 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. De'Von Achane led the offense in rushing for the Dolphins with 14 carries for 24 yds (1.7 yds per carry). Tyreek Hill averaged 11.5 yards per reception by earning 115 yards on 10 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ran the football 19 different times and recorded 44 yds, which came out to an average of 2.3 yards per tote. In the game, they had 66 plays for 375 yds. Miami conceded 27 completions on 39 attempts for 319 yds, and a completion rate of 69.2%. When it came to stopping the run, the Dolphins conceded 83 yards on 21 attempts, which calculates to 4.0 yards per run surrendered.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins have an average of 20.3 PPG. As a team they maintain an average of 105.2 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 24th in the NFL. The Dolphins have tallied 4,313 yards in total this season. Miami has amassed 171 first downs, and they have been called for 85 infractions for 691 yds. They have turned the football over 13 different times (5 picks and 8 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Miami has totaled 18 touchdowns through the air and 9 touchdowns on the ground.
In terms of passing yardage, the Dolphins have surrendered 2,766 yards which has them sitting in 11th in the NFL. They are allowing 212.8 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 64.9%. They have surrendered 14 touchdowns by air as well as 12 touchdowns running the ball. Over the course of this year, they have given up 318.4 yards per game ranking them 9th in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and 105.6 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. The Dolphins are sitting in 14th in the National Football League concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 22.5 PPG. In total, they have conceded 1,373 rushing yards through 13 games.
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The Texans come into this game with a record of 8-5 for this season. When they last took the field, the Texans walked away with a victory by a final of 23-20 when they faced the Jacksonville Jaguars. C.J. Stroud (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 242 yards on 22/34 passing while his QB rating was 95.5. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.1 yards. Joe Mixon ran the ball 20 times for 101 yds, walking away from the contest with 5.1 yards per attempt for Houston. Nico Collins was one of the featured targets for the Texans, catching 8 passes for 119 yds (14.9 yards per reception). Houston ran the football for 4.3 yards per tote, totaling 108 yards on 25 carries. The Texans finished the game with a total of 326 yds on 59 plays (5.5 yds per play). The Texans passing defense gave up a completion rate of 57.1%, relinquishing 276 yards on 24 out of 42 passing. Houston gave up 25 rushing attempts for 97 yards (3.9 yards per carry).
The Houston Texans maintain an average of 335.2 yards/contest ranking them 18th out of all teams in the league. They have an average of 114.1 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,483 yards for this year. The Houston offense has accrued 769 penalty yards on 95 violations, which has them ranked 6th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. For the year thus far, the Texans have a total of 2,875 passing yards as well as holding an average of 221.2 passing yards per outing, ranking them 17th in football. Concerning their ability to score points, the Texans currently rank 11th out of all teams in football by tallying 23.7 points per outing.
They have surrendered 26 touchdowns through the air in addition to 198.8 yards per game, which has them ranked 7th out of all teams. Houston has given up a total of 1,426 yards on the ground (109.7 yards/game) and 7 touchdowns on the ground for the season. Their defense has tallied 24 turnovers (8 fumbles recovered and 16 picks) so far this year. The Texans defense has participated in 797 plays, which has them ranked 13th in football. The Texans are relinquishing 22.2 points per game, which has them sitting 12th of all teams in the NFL.
Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Texans NFL game against the spread?
Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Texans -2.5 and over 47.5 total points
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Additional Resources:
Houston Texans - Twitter
Miami Dolphins - Twitter