Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 11/28/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers

Date: Thursday, November 28, 2024

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Miami Dolphins (5-6) are traveling to Lambeau Field on Thursday where they will try to defeat the Green Bay Packers (8-3). Green Bay is 3.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 47.5.

The Miami Dolphins head into this game 5-6 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Dolphins stepped onto the field against the New England Patriots and walked away with a win by a score of 34-15. Tua Tagovailoa finished 29/40 with 317 yards passing and 4 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 128.9 and finished the game with no picks. De'Von Achane was the leader on the ground for the Dolphins with 10 carries for 32 yards (3.2 yards per carry). Jaylen Waddle had an average of 18.0 yards per catch by totaling 144 yards on 8 catches. The Miami Dolphins ran the ball 24 times and accounted for 65 yards, which had them averaging 2.7 yards per tote. When all was said and done, they ran 64 plays which gave them a total of 373 yards. Miami conceded 22 completions on 38 attempts for a total of 183 yds, and a completion percentage of 57.9%. Against the run, the Dolphins gave up 86 yds on 21 attempts, which calculates to 4.1 yds per run allowed.

The Dolphins have earned 3,563 total yards for the season. Miami has compiled 130 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 67 infractions for 567 yds. When it comes to scoring, Miami has compiled 14 touchdowns through the air and 8 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 different times (5 interceptions and 7 fumbles). Offensively they're averaging 116.8 yards on the ground which ranks them 16th in the league. Regarding getting in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins are averaging 19.5 points per game.

The Dolphins are ranked 12th in the National Football League in terms of team defense, giving up 21.5 points per game. They are giving up an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and 106.9 rushing yards per contest for the season. For the year, they have given up 1,176 yards via the ground game in 11 games. Concerning yards via the pass, the Dolphins have surrendered 2,173 yards which ranks them 7th in the NFL. They have conceded 197.5 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 63.7%. Over the course of this season, they are conceding 304.5 yards per outing putting them at 7th in the National Football League. They have relinquished 11 touchdowns through the air as well as 10 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Packers head into this matchup 8-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Packers got the win with a final of 38-10 against the San Francisco 49ers. Josh Jacobs carried the rock 26 times for 106 yards, ending the contest with 4.1 yards per carry for Green Bay. Romeo Doubs was the leading receiver for the Packers, bringing in 3 balls for 54 yards (18.0 yds per reception). Jordan Love (2 TDs) walked away from the contest with 163 yds on 13/23 through the air while his QB rate was 107.7. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 7.1 yds. Green Bay conceded 16 run attempts for 44 yds (2.8 yards per carry). The Packers passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 58.6%, surrendering 197 yards on 17 for 29 passing. The Packers finished the game with a total of 325 yards while running 65 plays (5.0 yds per play). Green Bay ran the ball for 4.0 yards per tote, finishing the game with 169 yds on 42 carries.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Packers rank 8th in the NFL by scoring 26.2 PPG. Over the course of the season to this point, the Packers have compiled 2,538 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 230.7 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 11th in football. They are averaging 151.6 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,668 yards for this year. The Green Bay Packers are averaging 382.4 yards/game which has them sitting 5th in the NFL. The Green Bay offense has 550 yards of penalties on 75 infractions, which has them ranked 11th in football in terms of making mistakes.

They have conceded 14 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 206.5 yards/game, which has them ranked 10th in football. Green Bay has allowed a total of 1,240 rushing yards (112.7 yards per outing) as well as 10 touchdowns rushing this year. Their defense has compiled 22 turnovers (11 fumbles and 11 interceptions) over the course of the season. The Packers defense has taken part in 659 plays, which ranks 9th in the league. The Packers are conceding 20.3 PPG, ranking them 10th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins +3.5

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