Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, 12/29/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns

Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024

Location: Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Browns (+6.5)

Total-Over-Under: 40.5

The Cleveland Browns (3-12) welcome the Miami Dolphins (7-8) at Huntington Bank Field on Sunday. Cleveland is 6.5-point dogs. The total has been set at 40.5.

The Miami Dolphins head into this game 7-8 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Dolphins played the San Francisco 49ers and notched a win by a score of 29-17. De'Von Achane was the best rusher for the Dolphins with 17 totes for 120 yds (7.1 yds per carry). De'Von Achane had an average of 11.7 yds per catch by totaling 70 yds on 6 catches. Tua Tagovailoa connected on 22-34 with 215 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 92.2 and ended the contest with no interceptions. In the running game, the Dolphins gave up 81 yards on 18 tries, which calculates to 4.5 yards per run surrendered. Miami relinquished 26 pass completions on 40 attempts for 293 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.0%. In all, they ran 64 plays which converted into 381 yards. The Miami Dolphins rushed the ball a total of 30 different times and accounted for 166 yds, which came out to an average of 5.5 yds per attempt.

Regarding scoring, the Miami Dolphins are sitting at 20.3 PPG. As a team they're averaging 105.7 yards on the ground which is 24th in the National Football League. The Dolphins have earned 4,918 total yards this year. Miami has 195 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 99 penalties for 800 yds. They have surrendered the football 17 different times (8 picks and 9 fumbles lost). With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Miami has totaled 20 touchdowns through the air and 10 rushing touchdowns.

The Dolphins are ranked 10th in the league regarding team defense, conceding 21.9 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per rush on the ground and 102.1 yards on the ground per game this year. For the year, they have conceded 1,531 yards via the ground game in 15 contests. When talking about yards through the air, the Dolphins have given up 3,163 yards which has them sitting in 11th in football. They are giving up 210.9 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 65.2%. Over the course of this season, they have surrendered 312.9 yards per contest which ranks them 7th in football. They have given up 18 touchdowns by air in addition to 12 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Browns step onto the field holding a record of 3-12 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Browns took a defeat with a final score of 24-6 against the Cincinnati Bengals. Jerome Ford ran the ball 11 times for 92 yards, walking away from the game with 8.4 yds per carry for Cleveland. David Njoku was the top contributor in the passing game for the Browns, hauling in 8 passes for 66 yds (8.3 yds per catch). Dorian Thompson-Robinson walked away from the contest with 157 yards on 20-34 passing while his quarterback rating was 45.8. He threw 2 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.6 yards. Cleveland surrendered 22 attempts on the ground for 116 yds (5.3 yards per carry). The Browns secondary gave up a completion percentage of 76.7%, surrendering 210 yds on 23 for 30 through the air. The Browns finished the contest with a total of 273 yards on 58 plays (4.7 yds per play). Cleveland ran the ball for 6.2 yds per carry, finishing with 148 yds on 24 attempts.

The Cleveland Browns have an average of 307.2 yards per contest ranking them 25th out of all teams in the NFL. They hold an average of 95.9 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,438 yards for the year. The Cleveland offense has 811 yards of penalties on 107 infractions, which is good for 8th in football in terms of making mistakes. During the season so far, the Browns have earned 3,170 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 211.3 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 19th in the league. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Browns are ranked 31st in football averaging 16.3 PPG.

The Browns are giving up 25.3 PPG, which has them sitting 26th in the NFL. They have allowed 23 touchdowns from the passing game and 212.5 yards per contest, which has them ranked 13th in the NFL. Cleveland has given up a total of 1,911 rushing yards (127.4 yards per outing) and 19 touchdowns by ground this year. The Browns defense has taken part in 916 plays, which is good for 13th in football. Their defense has compiled 12 takeaways (8 fumbles recovered and 4 picks) on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins-Browns NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -6.5

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