Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 11/3/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, November 3, 2024

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Buffalo Bills (6-2) host the Miami Dolphins (2-5) at Highmark Stadium on Sunday. Miami opens this game as 6.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 50.5.

The Miami Dolphins come into this game with a record of 2-5 for this year. In their last contest, the Dolphins faced the Arizona Cardinals and took a loss by a score of 28-27. De'Von Achane was the rushing leader for the Dolphins with 10 attempts for 97 yards (9.7 yards per carry). De'Von Achane held an average of 8.3 yards per reception by totaling 50 yards on 6 receptions. Tua Tagovailoa connected on 28/38 with 234 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 97.9 and finished the game without throwing an interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Dolphins conceded 82 yds on 26 tries, which averages out to 3.2 yards per run allowed. Miami surrendered 26 pass completions on 36 attempts for 307 yards, and a completion percentage of 72.2%. In all, they ran 63 plays which gave them a total of 377 yards. The Miami Dolphins ended up rushing 25 different times and had 150 yds, earning them an average of 6.0 yards per attempt.

The Dolphins have attained 2,226 yards in total for the season. Miami has accounted for 68 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 51 penalties for 455 yds. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Miami has totaled 4 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 8 different times (4 picks and 4 fumbles). As a unit they have an average of 131.7 yards rushing which ranks them 9th in the National Football League. In terms of getting in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins have an average of 13.9 PPG.

The Dolphins are sitting in 16th in the National Football League when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 22.4 PPG. They are giving up an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 123.7 rushing yards per game this year. Overall, they have given up 866 rushing yards through 7 contests. Concerning passing yards, the Dolphins have conceded 1,234 yards which has them ranked 2nd in the NFL. They have conceded 176.3 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 61.9%. For the year, they are conceding 300.0 yards/game which puts them 6th in the National Football League. They have given up 5 touchdowns through the air in addition to 10 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Bills step onto the field holding a record of 6-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Bills got the win with a final of 31-10 when they faced the Seattle Seahawks. Josh Allen (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 283 yds on 24/34 through the air while his quarterback rating was 102.9. He threw 1 pick and his Y/A was 8.3 yards. Khalil Shakir was a featured target for the Bills, bringing in 9 balls for 107 yds (11.9 yds per catch). James Cook carried the ball 17 times for 111 yds, finishing the game with 6.5 yards per attempt for Buffalo. The Bills finished with 445 yds and they ran 68 plays (6.5 yds per play). Buffalo ended up running for 4.8 yards per tote, finishing with 164 yds on 34 attempts. Buffalo relinquished 17 rush attempts for 32 yds (1.9 yards per carry). The Bills passing defense conceded a completion rate of 72.4%, surrendering 201 yds on 21 for 29 through the air.

When looking at their scoring prowess, the Bills are sitting 5th in the league by scoring 28.8 PPG. Over the course of the season thus far, the Bills have racked up 1,714 yards through the air along with holding an average of 214.3 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 15th in the league. They average 122.3 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 978 yards for this season. The Buffalo Bills average 336.5 yards/game which is good for 13th in the league. The Buffalo offense has racked up 399 yds of penalties on 53 infractions, which is good for 10th in football in terms of hurting your team.

They have allowed 9 touchdowns through the air and 208.1 yards per game, which has them sitting 13th in the NFL. Buffalo has given up a total of 962 rushing yards (120.3 yards per contest) as well as 5 touchdowns by ground this season. Their defense has compiled 14 takeaways (6 fumbles and 8 interceptions) on the year. The Bills defense has been on the field for 497 plays, which ranks them 20th in the NFL. The Bills are giving up 18.3 PPG, which has them in 6th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Bills -6.5 and over 50.5 total points

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