Los Angeles Rams vs New England Patriots Prediction, 11/17/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+4.0)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Los Angeles Rams (4-5) are traveling to Gillette Stadium on Sunday where they will go up against the New England Patriots (3-7). New England opens as 4.0-point dogs. The over/under is set at 44.

The Los Angeles Rams come into this game with a record of 4-5 for this year. In their last game, the Rams faced the Miami Dolphins and took a loss by a score of 23-15. Kyren Williams was the leader on the ground for the Rams with 15 attempts for 62 yards (4.1 yards per attempt). Puka Nacua averaged 10.9 yards per catch by accounting for 98 yards on 9 receptions. Matthew Stafford finished 32/46 with 293 yds passing. He had a QB rating of 77.5 and finished the contest with 1 interception. In the running game, the Rams conceded 67 yards on 22 attempts, which is 3.0 yds per rush surrendered. Los Angeles surrendered 20 pass completions on 28 tries for 171 yards, and a completion rate of 71.4%. For the game, they had 64 plays which converted into 327 yds. The Los Angeles Rams rushed the ball a total of 18 different times and accounted for 70 yards, which earned them an average of 3.9 yds per attempt.

The Rams have racked up 2,958 total yards this season. Los Angeles has tallied 105 first downs as a team, and they have committed 50 infractions for 424 yards. With reference to scoring touchdowns, Los Angeles has compiled 9 touchdowns through the air and 8 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 11 times (7 interceptions and 4 fumbles lost). As a team they average 94.1 yards in the run game which ranks them 26th in the National Football League. When talking about scoring, the Los Angeles Rams are averaging 20.6 points per game.

When talking about yards through the air, the Rams have allowed 1,976 yards which ranks them 19th in football. They have conceded 219.6 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 65.3%. They have yielded 16 touchdowns via the pass as well as 7 touchdowns pounding the rock. For the year, they have given up 347.1 yards/contest putting them at 22nd in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per rush on the ground and 127.6 rushing yards per contest this year. The Rams rank 22nd in the league regarding their opponents scoring, allowing 24.1 PPG. For the season, they have conceded 1,148 yards via the ground game in 9 games.

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The Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 3-7 for this season. When they last took the field, the Patriots got the victory with a final of 19-3 when they faced the Chicago Bears. Rhamondre Stevenson carried the football 20 times for 74 yds, finishing the game with 3.7 yds per attempt for New England. Austin Hooper was the leading receiver for the Patriots, bringing in 3 balls for 64 yds (21.3 yds per reception). Drake Maye (1 TD) walked away from the game with 184 yds on 15/25 through the air while his QB rating was 79.4. He tossed 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.4 yds. New England conceded 20 rushing attempts for 73 yards (3.7 yards per carry). The Patriots pass defense conceded a completion rate of 53.3%, surrendering 69 yards on 16 for 30 passing. The Patriots finished the game with 328 yards while they ran 60 plays (5.5 yds per play). New England rushed the football for 4.1 yards per carry, finishing the game with 144 yds on 35 carries.

The New England Patriots maintain an average of 271.1 yards per contest which ranks them 32nd out of all teams in the NFL. They average 114.3 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,143 yards for this year. The New England offense has compiled 510 yards of penalties on 64 infractions, ranking them 13th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. For the year so far, the Patriots currently sit at 1,568 yards through the air along with an average of 156.8 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 32nd in football. In terms of their scoring prowess, the Patriots sit 31st out of all teams in football averaging 16.0 points per outing.

The Patriots are conceding 22.0 points per game, which has them in 13th in the NFL. They have conceded 12 touchdowns through the air and 209.0 yards/game, which has them in 16th in the NFL. New England has surrendered a total of 1,305 yards via the ground game (130.5 yards/game) in addition to 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the year. The Patriots defense has participated in 629 plays, which has them sitting 23rd in the league. Their defense has 8 turnovers (4 fumbles and 4 interceptions) for the season.

Who will win tonight's Rams/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rams -4.0

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