Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Prediction, 12/28/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots

Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: NFL NET

Odds-Point Spread: Patriots (+4.5)

Total-Over-Under: 42.5

The New England Patriots (3-12) host the Los Angeles Chargers (9-6) at Gillette Stadium on Saturday. New England opens as 4.5-point underdogs. The over-under has been set at 42.5.

The Los Angeles Chargers come into this matchup with a record of 9-6 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chargers faced the Denver Broncos and notched a win by a score of 34-27. Justin Herbert went 23-31 with 284 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 110.1 and ended the game with 1 interception. Ladd McConkey held an average of 14.5 yards per catch by accounting for 87 yards on 6 receptions. Gus Edwards was the rushing leader for the Chargers with 14 attempts for 68 yards (4.9 yds per carry). For the game, they ran 59 plays which gave them a total of 380 yards. The Los Angeles Chargers ran the rock 28 times and compiled 117 yds, which came out to an average of 4.2 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Chargers gave up 110 yards on 21 tries, which is an average of 5.2 yds per run surrendered. Los Angeles surrendered 29 completions on 40 tries for 245 yds, and a completion percentage of 72.5%.

The Chargers have tallied 4,610 total yards over the course of this season. Los Angeles has recorded 147 first downs, and they have been flagged for 83 penalties for 624 yds. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Los Angeles has earned 18 passing touchdowns and 15 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the ball 9 different times (3 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). As a unit they're maintaining an average of 106.5 yards in the run game which is 23rd in the league. Concerning putting points on the board, the Los Angeles Chargers are averaging 21.9 points per game.

Regarding yards through the air, the Chargers have allowed 3,207 yards which has them sitting in 15th in the NFL. They have relinquished 213.8 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 65.1%. They have allowed 21 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 7 touchdowns via the ground game. Overall, they have yielded 337.9 yards per contest which puts them 15th in the National Football League. They are giving up 4.7 yards per run and 124.1 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. The Chargers are ranked 1st in the NFL regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 18.3 points per game. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 1,862 yards via the ground game in 15 games.

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The Patriots head into this matchup 3-12 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Patriots went home defeated by a final of 24-21 against the Buffalo Bills. Rhamondre Stevenson ran the football 12 times for 60 yards, ending the contest with 5.0 yards per carry for New England. Kayshon Boutte had the best day in terms of receiving for the Patriots, hauling in 5 balls for 95 yards (19.0 yards per catch). Drake Maye (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 261 yds on 22-36 passing while his QB rate was 90.2. He had 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 7.3 yards. New England surrendered 28 rushing attempts for 172 yds (6.1 yds per rush). The Patriots secondary gave up a completion percentage of 55.2%, surrendering 152 yards on 16 out of 29 passing. The Patriots finished the contest with a total of 379 yds on 66 plays (5.7 yds per play). New England ran for 4.2 yards per carry, totaling 126 yards on 30 attempts.

The New England Patriots have an average of 298.3 yards per outing which has them ranked 29th out of all teams in the NFL. They have an average of 119.7 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,796 yards for the year. The New England offense has compiled 797 yds of penalties on 97 infractions, which is 15th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. During this campaign thus far, the Patriots have earned 2,678 yards via the pass as well as an average of 178.5 throwing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 32nd in the NFL. In terms of putting points on the board, the Patriots are sitting 30th in the league with 17.3 PPG.

The Patriots are conceding 24.1 points per contest, which puts them in 24th in the league. They have allowed 23 touchdowns through the air as well as 212.4 yards-game, which puts them in 11th out of all teams. New England has given up a total of 1,956 yards via the ground game (130.4 yards per game) and 14 touchdowns by ground this season. The Patriots defense has taken part in 926 plays, which is good for 16th in the NFL. Their defense has earned 12 takeaways (5 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions) on the season.

Who will win tonight's Chargers-Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots +4.5

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