Los Angeles Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 12/1/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Los Angeles Chargers at Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, December 1, 2024

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Los Angeles Chargers (7-4) are traveling to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the Atlanta Falcons (6-5). Atlanta opens this contest as 3.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 46.5.

The Los Angeles Chargers step onto the field holding a record of 7-4 for this season. In their last game, the Chargers played the Baltimore Ravens and took a loss by a score of 30-23. Justin Herbert finished 21/36 with 218 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 75.9 and ended the contest with no interceptions. J.K. Dobbins was the best rusher for the Chargers with 6 attempts for 40 yards (6.7 yds per carry). Ladd McConkey held an average of 13.8 yds per catch by earning 83 yards on 6 catches. The Los Angeles Chargers rushed the ball a total of 20 times and totaled 83 yds, which came out to an average of 4.2 yds per attempt. In the game, they had 56 plays which gave them a total of 285 yds. Los Angeles conceded 16 pass completions on 22 attempts for 177 yards, and a completion percentage of 72.7%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Chargers conceded 212 yards on 37 attempts, which averages out to 5.7 yards per run surrendered.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Los Angeles Chargers are sitting at 22.1 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 118.1 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 13th in the league. The Chargers have tallied 3,549 total yards over the course of this year. Los Angeles has accounted for 107 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 60 penalties for 473 yds. They have turned the ball over 5 different times (1 pick and 4 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring, Los Angeles has earned 13 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns on the ground.

The Chargers sit in 1st in the National Football League in relation to team defense, allowing 15.9 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.8 yards per tote and 119.7 rushing yards per game this year. For the year, they have given up 1,317 yards via the ground game in 11 outings. Concerning yards through the air, the Chargers have conceded 2,243 yards which ranks them 7th in the league. They have allowed 203.9 yards per contest through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 63.5%. During this campaign, they have allowed 323.6 yards per game putting them 13th in football. They have conceded 14 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 5 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 6-5 this year. When they last took the field, the Falcons walked away with a loss by a score of 38-6 when they played the Denver Broncos. Bijan Robinson carried the ball 12 times for 35 yards, finishing the contest with 2.9 yds per attempt for Atlanta. Drake London was one of the featured targets for the Falcons, catching 3 footballs for 61 yards (20.3 yards per reception). Kirk Cousins walked away from the game with 173 yards on 18/27 passing while his quarterback rate was 68.9. He had 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 6.4 yds. Atlanta surrendered 26 run attempts for 105 yds (4.0 yds per rush). The Falcons secondary conceded a completion percentage of 84.8%, relinquishing 295 yards on 28 for 33 passing. The Falcons ended up finishing with 226 yds while they ran 52 plays (4.3 yds per play). Atlanta rushed for 2.4 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 50 yds on 21 attempts.

In terms of their scoring prowess, the Falcons rank 17th in football by scoring 22.2 points per contest. For the year so far, the Falcons have compiled 2,680 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 243.6 passing yards per game, which is ranked 5th in the league. They hold an average of 117.9 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,297 yards for the year. The Atlanta Falcons are averaging 361.5 yards per game which has them ranked 8th out of all teams in the NFL. The Atlanta offense has compiled 551 yards of penalties on 65 infractions, which has them sitting 24th in the league in terms of hurting your team.

The Falcons are relinquishing 24.9 PPG, ranking them 25th of all teams in the league. They have surrendered 21 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 229.9 yards per outing, which has them ranked 26th in the NFL. Atlanta has surrendered a total of 1,399 yards via the ground game (127.2 yards per contest) in addition to 6 touchdowns via the rush this year. The Falcons defense has participated in 703 plays, which is good for 21st in the league. They have earned 10 takeaways (3 fumbles and 7 interceptions) over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Chargers/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chargers +3.5

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