Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 10/6/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 36.5

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-2) are traveling to Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday where they will take on the Denver Broncos (2-2). Las Vegas opens as 2.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 36.5.

The Las Vegas Raiders step onto the field holding a record of 2-2 for this season. In their last game, the Raiders faced the Cleveland Browns and went home with a win by a final score of 20-16. Gardner Minshew II finished 14/24 with 130 yards passing. He had a QB rate of 73.3 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Jakobi Meyers left with an average of 9.8 yards per reception by accumulating 49 yds on 5 catches. Alexander Mattison led the offense in rushing for the Raiders with 5 attempts for 60 yards (12.0 yards per carry). On the day, they ran 53 plays for 268 yards. The Las Vegas Raiders ran the football 29 times and accumulated 152 yards, which earned them an average of 5.2 yds per carry. In the running game, the Raiders gave up 92 yards on 22 tries, which calculates to 4.2 yards per rush surrendered. Las Vegas relinquished 24 pass completions on 32 attempts for 149 yards, and a completion rate of 75.0%.

The Raiders have tallied 1,155 total yards this year. Las Vegas has compiled 48 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 17 infractions for 133 yards. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Las Vegas has amassed 4 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 6 different times (3 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). Offensively they're holding an average of 76.3 yards on the ground which is 31st in the NFL. When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Las Vegas Raiders have an average of 19.5 points per contest.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Raiders have given up 827 yards which puts them in 17th in the NFL. They are allowing 206.8 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 68.2%. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns by air in addition to 3 touchdowns via the ground game. In total, they have yielded 344.3 yards per contest putting them at 21st in the National Football League. They are allowing 5.1 yards per rush and 137.5 yards on the ground per game this year. The Raiders rank 24th in the NFL in relation to team defense, allowing 24.3 points per contest. For the year, they have conceded 550 running yards through 4 games.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 for this season. When they last took the field, the Broncos walked away with a victory by a final of 10-9 when they played the New York Jets. Bo Nix (1 TD) ended the contest with 60 yards on 12/25 through the air while his QB rate was 67.9. He didn't throw any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 2.4 yds. Courtland Sutton was the top contributor in the passing game for the Broncos, bringing in 3 throws for 60 yards (20.0 yds per catch). Javonte Williams carried the ball 16 times for 77 yds, finishing the game with 4.8 yards per carry for Denver. The Broncos finished the contest with a total of 186 yards while they ran 56 plays (3.3 yds per play). Denver rushed for 4.1 yards per carry, finishing the game with 126 yards on 31 carries. Denver allowed 23 running attempts for 64 yds (2.8 yards per carry). The Broncos pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 57.1%, surrendering 184 yds on 24 out of 42 passing.

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Broncos are ranking 28th out of all teams in the league averaging 15.5 points per game. For the year to this point, the Broncos have thrown for a total of 639 yards via the pass together with holding an average of 159.8 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 27th in football. They hold an average of 106.3 yards per game on the ground and have run for 425 yards for this season. The Denver Broncos maintain an average of 266.0 yards per outing which has them ranked 27th in football. The Denver offense has totaled 309 yds of penalties on 27 infractions, which has them ranked 14th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes.

The Broncos are conceding 13.8 points per contest, which has them ranked 3rd in the league. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 146.0 yards per outing, which has them in 3rd in the league. Denver has conceded a total of 442 yards rushing (110.5 yards/game) and 2 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Broncos defense taken the field for 244 plays, which is 16th in the league. They have earned 5 takeaways (3 fumbles recovered and 2 interceptions) so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Raiders/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Raiders +2.5

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