Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, 9/29/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chargers (+9.0)

Total/Over-Under: 39.5

SoFi Stadium is the location where the Los Angeles Chargers (2-1) will take on the Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) on Sunday. Los Angeles opens this contest as 9.0-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 39.5.

The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game with a record of 3-0 this year. When they last took the field, the Chiefs faced the Atlanta Falcons and went home with a win by a final score of 22-17. Patrick Mahomes connected on 26/39 with 217 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 87.2 and finished the game with 1 interception. Carson Steele led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 17 carries for 72 yards (4.2 yds per carry). Rashee Rice averaged 9.2 yards per catch by notching 110 yards on 12 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball 33 times and amassed 128 yards, which earned them an average of 3.9 yards per tote. In all, they ran 72 plays which totaled 345 yds. Kansas City surrendered 20 pass completions on 29 attempts for a total of 229 yds, and a completion percentage of 69.0%. Against the rush, the Chiefs conceded 82 yds on 25 attempts, which averages out to 3.3 yds per run allowed.

The Chiefs have earned 984 total yards for the year. Kansas City has tallied 35 first downs, and they have been flagged for 16 penalties for 150 yards. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Kansas City has compiled 5 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 5 times (4 interceptions and 1 fumble). As a team they are averaging 116.3 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 15th in the league. When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 25.0 PPG.

The Chiefs are sitting in 15th in the NFL concerning team defense, giving up 20.7 points per game. They are allowing 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and 113.7 rushing yards per game this season. In total, they have given up 341 running yards through 3 games. Concerning passing yards, the Chiefs have surrendered 742 yards which has them sitting in 28th in the National Football League. They are conceding 247.3 yards per contest through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 65.1%. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 361.0 yards per contest putting them 25th in the league. They have allowed 4 touchdowns through the air in addition to 2 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Chargers come into this game with a record of 2-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chargers took a defeat with a final score of 20-10 when they played the Pittsburgh Steelers. Justin Herbert (1 TD) finished the contest with 125 yds on 12/18 through the air while his quarterback rating was 105.1. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.9 yds. Quentin Johnston had the best day in terms of receiving for the Chargers, bringing in 2 balls for 44 yards (22.0 yards per reception). J.K. Dobbins carried the ball 15 times for 44 yards, ending the contest with 2.9 yds per carry for Los Angeles. The Chargers finished the game with 168 yards while they ran 40 plays (4.2 yds per play). Los Angeles ran for 3.1 yds per carry, finishing the game with 61 yards on 20 attempts. Los Angeles surrendered 31 rush attempts for 114 yards (3.7 yds per rush). The Chargers passing defense gave up a completion rate of 78.1%, relinquishing 232 yards on 25 out of 32 passing.

In terms of their ability to score points, the Chargers are 18th in football averaging 19.3 points per outing. During the season thus far, the Chargers have earned 377 passing yards in addition to an average of 125.7 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 31st out of all NFL teams. They are averaging 152.0 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 456 yards for the season. The Los Angeles Chargers maintain an average of 277.7 yards per contest which is good for 25th in football. The Los Angeles offense has accrued 134 yards of penalties on 17 violations, which ranks them 20th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition.

The Chargers are surrendering 11.0 PPG, which has them sitting 3rd in the league. They have allowed 2 touchdowns through the air in addition to 175.3 yards/contest, which has them sitting 10th in football. Los Angeles has allowed a total of 275 yards on the ground (91.7 yards per outing) as well as 1 touchdown by way of the ground game for the season. The Chargers defense has been on the field for 170 plays, which ranks them 6th in the NFL. Their defense has tallied 5 turnovers (2 fumbles and 3 picks) over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Chargers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chargers +9.0

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