Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 1/5/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Broncos (-9.5)

Total-Over-Under: 38.5

The Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) are hitting the road to Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday where they will take on the Denver Broncos (9-7). Denver is 9.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 38.5.

The Kansas City Chiefs come into this matchup with a record of 15-1 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chiefs played the Pittsburgh Steelers and notched a win by a score of 27-19. Patrick Mahomes connected on 29-38 with 320 yds passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 127.1 and finished the game without throwing a pick. Travis Kelce held an average of 10.5 yds per catch by accumulating 84 yards on 8 receptions. Kareem Hunt led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 9 totes for 20 yards (2.2 yards per attempt). In all, they had 58 plays for 389 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up rushing 20 times and accumulated 69 yds, which had them averaging 3.5 yards per tote. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Chiefs gave up 84 yds on 17 attempts, which is an average of 4.9 yds per rush surrendered. Kansas City conceded 23 completions on 39 attempts for 227 yards, and a completion rate of 59.0%.

In terms of scoring, the Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 24.1 points per contest. As a unit they're averaging 110.2 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 16th in the NFL. The Chiefs have earned 5,472 total yards this season. Kansas City has compiled 215 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 91 infractions for 814 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 14 different times (11 picks and 3 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Kansas City has compiled 26 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Chiefs have given up 3,399 yards which ranks them 14th in football. They have conceded 212.4 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 64.6%. They have conceded 20 touchdowns by air as well as 12 touchdowns pounding the rock. Overall, they have relinquished 310.8 yards per contest putting them at 5th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per run and 98.3 yards on the ground per contest for the year. The Chiefs are ranked 2nd in the league concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 18.0 points per game. In total, they have conceded 1,573 yards via the ground game in 16 outings.

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The Broncos head into this game 9-7 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Broncos went home defeated by a final of 34-27 when they faced the Cincinnati Bengals. Bo Nix (3 TDs) finished the contest with 219 yds on 24-31 passing while his QB rate was 114.9. He tossed 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 7.1 yards. Marvin Mims was the top contributor in the passing game for the Broncos, snagging 8 throws for 103 yards (12.9 yards per reception). Jaleel McLaughlin ran the football 10 times for 69 yds, walking away from the contest with 6.9 yds per attempt for Denver. The Broncos finished with 329 yds while they ran 58 plays (5.7 yards per play). Denver rushed for 4.6 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 123 yards on 27 carries. Denver surrendered 28 attempts on the ground for 117 yards (4.2 yards per rush). The Broncos pass defense gave up a completion rate of 74.2%, relinquishing 263 yards on 23 for 31 passing.

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Broncos are sitting 10th out of all teams in the league by scoring 24.2 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Broncos currently have a total of 3,289 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 205.6 passing yards per outing, which ranks 22nd in football. They are averaging 109.4 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,750 yards overall. The Denver Broncos maintain an average of 314.9 yards per game which has them ranked 22nd in the league. The Denver offense has totaled 900 penalty yards on 103 violations, which is good for 16th in football in terms of helping out the opposition.

They have conceded 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 230.1 yards per game, which has them ranked 25th in the league. Denver has allowed the opposition a total of 1,612 yards via the ground game (100.8 yards per contest) and 10 touchdowns by ground for the season. They have totaled 25 turnovers (10 fumbles and 15 picks) this season. The Broncos defense has participated in 1,060 plays, which is 31st in the league. The Broncos are giving up 19.4 points per game, which has them sitting 5th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs-Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chiefs +9.5

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